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Polls close 19h CET. At 17h30, turnout was 46.34%.

This means that we will exceed 50% by all likelihood. Thus the referendum will be valid whatever is the vote. Based on the polls I showed, 3xYes is all but certain.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Mar 9th, 2008 at 01:46:20 PM EST
No exit polls, only pre-election-day polls, they show almost 80% Yes for each question.

Turnout is now projected at 56%, this would give Yes majorities that are 39-41% of all eligible voters. So a comfortable victory of the vote against reforms.

The pollsters again have an egg on their face: they expected much lower turnout, around 45%. But still, they have interesting data: for the first time in Hungarian voting history, the rural turnout exceeded the urban vote.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Mar 9th, 2008 at 02:08:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Now it looks like turnout will be just shy of 50%. However, Yes majorities are 83-85% of (actual) voters, and just got above 25% of eligible voters, with the largest precints not yet reporting...

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun Mar 9th, 2008 at 03:29:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
During the fight about the referendum, one of the reformists' points was that the referendum questions are on a budgetary issue (something barred from referendums). But the Constitutional Court ruled against.

However, immediately after polls closed, the PM held an unscheduled press conference, declaring that the government will introduce draft laws re-instating the pre-reform status quo ante, but won't be able, nor intend to find other sources of money for hospitals, doctors and universities.

Bang...

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Mar 9th, 2008 at 02:13:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hundreds of 'spontaneous' protesters gathering at the Parliament, with the usual composition: many skinheads and retired fools.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun Mar 9th, 2008 at 03:49:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A government politician again forgot to keep his mouth shut in the gaze of right-wing media.

HírTV taped two leaders of (neo)liberal SzDSz while they watched the PM's speech. The PM was using the following rhetoric: "All that happened today is that people said, 'if one doesn't have to pay 300 Ft [c. €1.2, the visitation charge], then we would like to not pay 300 Ft." Then one of the SzDSz guys remarked to the other: "That's not what they said, Feri [PMs nickname], they said you to fuck yourself!"...

(To wit: this is certainly what motivated many if not most on the Right, but also comes handy for reformist self-delusions about lack of real popular rejection.)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Mar 10th, 2008 at 04:09:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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