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I must write that diary on the structure of empire I keep promising.
it would be entirely irresponsible to speculate.
We are, of course, speculating. Every criminal investigation or indictment is preceeded or begins with speculation about possible suspects. It then proceeds to possible motives, methods, -- jeez.
It would be irresponsible (not to mention deadly dull) NOT to speculate. Useful talking follows experience, the more experience the better. Talking that precedes experience is known as bullshit.