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We want to force a shift ... back to the relatively small lending operations to Main Street.

That's a nice idea, and gets to the essence of what we will need to do, however, I don't think it will work. The problem is that the return on productive investments started to drop in the late-60s/early-70s and has continued to fall ever since.

The current situation, which can be described as the flight of capital from production into speculation, is probably, more than anything, a result of the decreased ROI in production.

So, if small lenders are to provide the credit for commerce and industry, they will have to accept small profits. Will they? I have my doubts. Is there another way? Maybe so. How about a non-profit national bank, one that is owned by the people, and that has as its sole mission to foster the conditions where goods and services that people need are produced?

I have written about this problem over there.

by unclejohn on Mon Apr 21st, 2008 at 08:09:18 AM EST
But the average returns of speculation cannot possibly exceed the returns of productive investment, unless the speculators are able to create the money they speculate with, and in that case they're getting the profit from seignorage, not from speculation.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 03:02:22 PM EST
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