European Tribune - Comments - Italian Elections Open Thread

Italian Elections Open Thread | 62 comments (62 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: Italian Elections Open Thread (none / 1)

The prediction market has just put up their results. Prediction markets are based on placing money on candidates rather than expressing personal preferences.

The Democratic Party shows a strong recovery in the past week for the lower house (chamber of deputies).

Berlusconi coalition: 41.7%

Democratic Party: 39.3%

Rainbow coalition: 7.5%

UDC: 6.5%

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Mon Apr 14th, 2008 at 09:13:12 AM EST

Re: Italian Elections Open Thread (none / 0)

Prediction markets reflect conventional wisdom more than anything. (Just ask presidential nominees Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani.) It probably reflects news stories more than anything. I'd guess we're looking at a right coalition, based upon the exit polls.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Apr 14th, 2008 at 09:21:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Italian Elections Open Thread (none / 1)

They still allow for an outside chance of a hung parliament, with center-left and hard-left at a combined 50%.

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Mon Apr 14th, 2008 at 09:25:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Italian Elections Open Thread (none / 1)

Yeah, could be. It's going to be pretty damned close, I think. Statistically, I don't think there's any difference between the left and right totals.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon Apr 14th, 2008 at 09:27:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Italian Elections Open Thread (none / 1)

News stories do have an impact on a voter's decision, more so than a candidate's speech.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Mon Apr 14th, 2008 at 09:53:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Italian Elections Open Thread | 62 comments (62 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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