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The latest poll in the Observer says that the tories are leading in Crewe, which given that it's the 197th target seat would scare the bejeezus out of most Labour MPs.

These aren't people who have experience in the world like old time labourites; this lot went from private school to Oxbridge debating club to Westminster private secretary to parachuted MP. They've never worked in their lives. So the prospect of unemployment with massive competition for cosy boltholes will cause a lot of them significant distress. And it couldn't happen to a more deserving buch of arse-licking tossers.

Frank Field is a bit of a one trick pony, he's happy to do what he's good at. There are several people on the left I'd rather see cos even if they ballsed it up at least they'd go down on labour policies.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Sun May 11th, 2008 at 11:42:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, personally I think the hallmark of these next two years will be Labour MPs publically doing and saying whatever will save their seats, regardless of party line. There is no point keeping to the whip if your party is doomed, and so expect greater rebellions against vote losers such as 42 day detention and ID cards.

I really don't know if the polling for C&N should be taken as a literal example of a general election, as all the normal caveats of by-elections apply, plus a few more concerning who exactly is running. I don't know if Labour's attempt to paint Timpson as priveleged will work well, especially as seen as their own candidate is 'blood' and not necessarily talent. Nor would a big swing to Conservatives be simply read as a vote against Labour, simply just a loss of votes which attends the loss of any charismatic MP such as Gwyneth Dunwoody. I mean, I'm sure she herself attracted more votes than some of those faceless Blairites we don't know and don't love.

Anyways, watch this space for the new narrative if Labour hang on to the seat. Alternatively, watch those London bridges for a middle-aged Scot if they lose (according to ceebs, anyhow).

Member of the Anti-Fabulousness League since 1987.

by Ephemera on Sun May 11th, 2008 at 11:56:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Even with all of the caveats it should be a safe seat. If it's not a safe seat, whatever's left of the party should be looking at a decapitation and a replacement of the top 'blood' with some real people.

Cameron is about to convince everyone that the Tories are running to the left of Labour, which is just that little bit too surreal to live with comfortably.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sun May 11th, 2008 at 12:10:11 PM EST
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