I really don't know if the polling for C&N should be taken as a literal example of a general election, as all the normal caveats of by-elections apply, plus a few more concerning who exactly is running. I don't know if Labour's attempt to paint Timpson as priveleged will work well, especially as seen as their own candidate is 'blood' and not necessarily talent. Nor would a big swing to Conservatives be simply read as a vote against Labour, simply just a loss of votes which attends the loss of any charismatic MP such as Gwyneth Dunwoody. I mean, I'm sure she herself attracted more votes than some of those faceless Blairites we don't know and don't love.

Anyways, watch this space for the new narrative if Labour hang on to the seat. Alternatively, watch those London bridges for a middle-aged Scot if they lose (according to ceebs, anyhow).

Member of the Anti-Fabulousness League since 1987.