But it's going to depend on how much crap the Rs can find to throw at Obama. I get the impression the Rs don't really have a strategy. They'll be doing tooting on the dog whistle, but that's not going to do anything for the 60-70% of the population who aren't racist little thugs.
McCain has no chance with the AA vote, and that leaves his constituency looking bare. Evangelicals won't be inspired, the Money will vote dutifully but not very significantly in terms of numbers, so overall McCain is going to be lucky to get >45% of the total vote.
Obama's campaign so far has responded to attacks blindingly quickly, and I don't think McCain has either the smarts of the stamina to put up a convincing fight.
It's not too much of an exaggeration to suggest that all Obama has to do is be polite and reasonable and wait for McCain to lose his temper on TV.
McCain's real problem is that any bit of ammo he's got to go after Obama is matched by much heavier artillery that Obama can use on McCain. So Obama can say to him, "Alright, asshole, wanna run Wright commercials? Great, let's introduce Catholics to Hagee and the country in general to Parsley." McCain will be reduced to a stuttering idiot.
"My friends, I don't think Catholics are whores or that my wife is a trollop or a cunt."
"Elitism"? McCain's got his own private jet. End of story.
Even on the silly identity games, McCain is a lot more vulnerable.
It'd be great. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
