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It comes down to Florida and Ohio. Again. And the most recent polls for both of those were tied within MOR as of the end of the April.

This is before any active campaigning from Obama.

I'd like to be more optimistic, because these polls won't include new voter registrations, which should be giving the Dems some extra tail wind.

Also, I think McCain is more likely to implode than Obama is. He's such a pile of useless flesh that it's only going to take one slip to kill his campaign.

The chances of him getting to the end of the campaign without saying something cravenly stupid or spectacularly dishonest are not good.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Mon May 12th, 2008 at 03:02:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Florida's a lost cause for Obama, and Clinton's numbers there are much higher than they'd wind up being.  Florida always does this.  Kerry, at this point in 2004, was up ten points in Florida, but he wound up losing by four.  The state is much more conservative than people realize, and there are many other opportunities that don't necessitate the massive spending needed to play there.  The mission in Florida is going to be Organize, Organize, Organize, and hope for the best.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Mon May 12th, 2008 at 03:15:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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