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By George, I think he's got it.  Except this scenario gives the actors too much credit, as it indicates planning and intent whereas most of the mess resulted from absence of mind and viewing the world through greed goggles.  My experience is that, if an event can be explained by either cold calculation or simple stupidity, stupidity wins.
by rifek on Sun May 18th, 2008 at 10:09:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So suppose that Helicopter Ben didn't give Charlie half a million near the end of the story. Would we have reason to care then?

I understand that it would clearly be illegal for Charlie to spread rumours that Bob had gone Hare Krishna. But considering that in the real world, Bob is not a real person but a publically traded company, the only people who were losing out until the arrival of Helicopter Ben in the parable would be Alice (who lost out in both scenarios) and Bob's shareholders.

I am not sure that I understand why we are having any sympathy for Bob's shareholders. They gambled on the exchange. They lost. So what? If they lost because of illegal market manipulation then presumably they could get fines and compensation by way of a civil suit. They're big boys - I think they can take care of that part for themselves.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sun May 18th, 2008 at 05:32:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Some may sympathize, The Lone Benger among them.  I, however, do not.  The ramifications of an unwinding are enormous, though.  Our entire credit-financial system is based on packaging debt obligations and sending them downstream.  That has become the prevalent method of "creating money" for extending credit and capitalizing projects.  Unwinding CDS positions would trigger unwinding of all other debt obligation positions, resulting in what would amount to the largest margin call in history.  Credit and market caps would shrivel like raisins, and the global economy would be circling the drain overnight.

I don't think this ultimately can be stopped, but Bernanke has managed to stall it enough for the "people who matter" (i.e. rich buggers with "vacation homes" in Paraguay and private, sovereign islands) to bail out at public expense and for the creation of a diversion of skyrocketing commodities that will cover the tracks of the financiers who created this mess and the "regulators" who let them.

by rifek on Sun May 18th, 2008 at 07:57:03 PM EST
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