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Plenty, for now...

The forecasts for the next election however, are not good.

It's actually a bit depressing, because all those dancing on the grave of New Labour are just building the coming majority for Cameron's Conservatives. And I struggle to believe they will be an improvement for those of us in the bottom 95%...

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Sat May 24th, 2008 at 02:13:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How long have the Tories been polling above 40%. It's not just the Crewe by-election.

Is it just me, or is Brown in the running for "worst PM ever"?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat May 24th, 2008 at 02:17:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
That's not really fair.  Phony Tony rode the bubble to three election victories after over a decade of Tory incompetence and criminality.  He just left Brown holding the bag.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Sat May 24th, 2008 at 02:34:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
For anyone living in the US, this should trigger whispers of prescient worry.

Capitalism searches out the darkest corners of human potential, and mainlines them.
by geezer in Paris (risico at wanadoo(flypoop)fr) on Sun May 25th, 2008 at 02:33:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Countdown to President Mc Cain...

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun May 25th, 2008 at 06:22:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think geezer was noting potential worry about Bush leaving Obama holding the bag.  It's possible Obama could get blamed for it.  I just don't think it's likely, since the shit has already hit the fan in the minds of most voters.

You guys sound like my dad: You worry far too much about a McCain presidency at this point.  Believe me, no one hates the idea more than I do, but given that Obama has maintained a lead despite all the "-gates" (Pastorgate, Bittergate, FlagPingate, etc -- we've seen in the last two months, it's really not warranted.  People don't seem to be stupid this year, and on the fundamentals -- Iraq, the economy, health care -- he's beating the snot out of McCain so badly that I'm tempted to think that already significant lead may well widen, despite the tendency for polling to bump up and down in summer (before people start paying attention).

If he were losing in September with this sort of stuff going on, I'd be worried.  For now, he's pulling ahead, finally, in Ohio and Virginia.  He was already ahead in Colorado and Iowa.  New Mexico is tight (slightly leaning Obama), but it's going to do the right thing in the end, I think.  He's now got Pennsylvania looking solid again.  New Hampshire is swinging back, finally.  And, with Edwards on the ticket, those poll numbers go from solid Obama wins to landslide Obama wins, according to the Jesus Polling Group, SurveyUSA.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Sun May 25th, 2008 at 11:33:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And, by the way, while I don't think he's as far ahead as some of those polls suggest in places like Ohio, it's consistent with what I predicted about a week ago, when I said that state polls lag national polls and gave the reasons for it.

They might well bump back to a tie.  It's still spring, so the public isn't paying incredibly close attention.  But I think you're seeing the fundamentals flex their muscles a bit, and that should be reassuring.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Sun May 25th, 2008 at 11:35:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's unlikely he will get blamed for it, -I agree- but I think it's hard to imagine any administration dealing with a landscape strewn with the wreckage of policies, agencies, social services, infrastructure, education, the military,--- or them being able to explain it's failure.
What has he not wrecked?
It's 2012 and later that really could be the bombshell.

Was not the discrediting of government as a social force for good one of the central ideas from the start?

And, viewed from this perspective, --is the Bush administration really a failure?

Capitalism searches out the darkest corners of human potential, and mainlines them.

by geezer in Paris (risico at wanadoo(flypoop)fr) on Wed May 28th, 2008 at 06:05:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
True, but, at the same time, I can't feel too badly for them.  Tony Blair was one of only two guys on the planet who might have been able to stop the Iraq War.  Instead, he decided to go along with it, and New Labour enabled him.

That's not to say that Cameron and the Tories get a free pass, of course, as I understand them to have been no less pro-war.  But, still, Labour has only itself to blame.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Sat May 24th, 2008 at 03:00:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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