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The Independent: The next banking crisis? (3 June 2008)
On 13 February, B&B was the first British bank to announce full-year results, stunning investors with £228m of charges for wholesale assets and financial instruments hit by the credit crunch. The writedowns and losses shook confidence in the banking sector, raising fears of massive losses at other lenders as results season unfolded. Though the numbers did not turn out as bad as feared at the time, the concerns were borne out later as Royal Bank of Scotland and HBOS revealed big writedowns last month and announced rights issues.

Now investors fear that B&B's latest warning is a harbinger of things to come. This time, the Yorkshire-based bank's main problem is not caused by losses on exotic credit products at its Treasury operation. Instead, the country's biggest buy-to-let lender has sounded the alarm over old-fashioned arrears and bad debts from its stock of mortgages.



When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jun 3rd, 2008 at 06:18:40 AM EST
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The Guardian: BBanks in crisis: Bradford & Bingley faces shareholder revolt (June 3 2008)
Analysts at Collins Stewart today called on Bradford & Bingley shareholders to vote against the repriced rights issue and force management to go back to its original scheme.

Collins Stewart analyst Alex Potter described the renegotiation of the rights issue as "little short of a disgrace".

Anger is growing among B&B shareholders after the bank scrapped its original £300m cash call. UBS and Citi, the investment banks underwriting the fund raising, had agreed to guarantee a price of 82p six weeks ago but forced B&B to cut that price to 55p, reducing the size of the cash call to £258m.

"Management claim it wanted to avoid the stock trading below the previous issue price of 82p - the share price move yesterday is clearly much more damaging to shareholders than the previous issue having been left in place and the underwriters potentially holding significant amounts of stock," Potter said. "We believe shareholders should vote against the new issue at the upcoming EGM and force management to revert to the old scheme."



When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jun 3rd, 2008 at 06:20:26 AM EST
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The Guardian: Viewpoint: Wrecking ball hits housing market (June 3 2008)
Jeepers. What a way to start a week. Any remaining doubt that the housing market is in freefall was blown away by figures showing a collapse in mortgage approvals, an unprecedented rights issue repricing and profits warning from Bradford & Bingley - and an increase in the Nationwide's fixed-rate mortgages.

With house prices falling, there is a full-scale retreat from the mortgage market. Would-be homebuyers don't want to buy something they might get much cheaper next year, while lenders won't lend on assets that might soon be under water. None of the Nationwide's fixes are available below 6%, more than a full point above base rates. The squeeze is on.

In the early stages of a housing market slump, activity indicators are often more relevant than price data, which tends to lag. So when mortgage approvals fall by half and net new home reservations are down by three-quarters there is a problem. Right now the data is telling us just one thing, that the housing market is in meltdown.



When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jun 3rd, 2008 at 06:56:37 AM EST
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I think it was BondDad who outlined that there were going to be seven different stages to the economic collapse, each card falling from the instabilities of the previous ones.

I remember noting that a lot of "serious" commentators were calling the recession over at stage 3 and I was wondering why they'd think that when the pressure on morgages had obviously not filtered through.

However, although I accept it makes me look petty and wishing ill on people, I am glad to see that buy-to-let people are suffering disproportionatley. They are parasites who bear tremendous responsibility for forcing prices up for entry level housing.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Tue Jun 3rd, 2008 at 06:38:12 AM EST
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