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I wouldn't say a 4% difference was a rout, the 20% difference in north carolina looks much more a rout.

a 4% difference means that She only has an advantage of about three delegates from that state in closing the gap on Obama. Without a huge advantage it means that to get the number of deligates needed for her to have an advantage of delegates at the end of the primary process she now needs to get around 72% of the rest of the votes in the remaining states.(and this is a quick back of an envelope calculation so may be entirely inacurate)

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.

by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:19:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Pretty good math, if I remember correctly.

Man, I told DoDo never to bet money on the Zogster, and the little "fooker" may just get it right in Indiana.

SurveyUSA certainly got it wrong.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:24:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
52:48

Oh dear. Not even the rules of Clintonball make it possible to spin that as a double digit win.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:26:53 PM EST
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Still nothing from Gary, and those Indy suburbs are still not reporting 55-65% of precincts.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:31:26 PM EST
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Wow. Wikipedia says Gary's population is 85% African-American. That's incredible. Do you know how many eligible voters there are in the city?

Member of the Anti-Fabulousness League since 1987.
by Ephemera on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:36:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No idea.  The city's about 100,000 people.  I'd guess 55-65% are registered voters.  No clue what Lake County as a whole looks like.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:45:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, she is at a 4 point lead now, down from a 10 point lead in some predictions. How exciting!

Member of the Anti-Fabulousness League since 1987.
by Ephemera on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:26:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
previous to tonight it was about 68% of the remaining votes she needed, using the same suspect methods, so it's all getting very tight on her needing to give in. The Fat lady is at least clearing her throat, if she hasn't stepped out on the stage. Even her advisers must be starting to see the neon 'you lose' message flashing at the end of the game.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:33:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think the plan is to stage a coup with the Rules Committee (or whatever it's called) which will seat Florida etc and then crown her empress of the entire world.

The Committee is packed full of Clinton people. Unfortunately the rest of the convention will try to lynch them, so it's possibly not a bullet-proof strategy.

Even so - Clinton looks like she won't stop until someone forces her to. She doesn't care about the party, she doesn't care about the voters, she only cares about being empress of the entire world.

She's looking more and more like Bush, only without the affability.  

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:38:17 PM EST
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Probably not going to matter.  I think enough supers would leave her to make up whatever nuclear strike she launched in the Rules Committee.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:42:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So it's the lynching of John Brown vs the incineration of Joan of Arc?

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:43:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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