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I think it's just everything is way inside their margins of error.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:20:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Right.  Essentially what they do is follow certain precincts that give them a model of the vote.  A pretty good one, too.  It's very odd that we might -- again, I think it's still doubtful in IN -- have two races in this primary called or nearly called, and then overturned.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:30:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm fairly convinced that Obama will loose in Indiana. looking at the county by county maps, I dont see there being enough votes out there for him to overturn her lead. Unless Lake has a much higher population than I assume.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:37:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
73% in an a little over 40k vote difference.  

Lake and La Porte counties still have 0% reporting.

If they go O as big as Marion county (Indianapolis) this is going to be a squeaker -- 6/5 and pick 'em.  

by ATinNM on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:39:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It was 44k at 73%.  74% now, down to 38,000.  Per Chuck Todd, O's people think they'll come up short by 10-15k.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:43:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
and that as far as Obamas people are concerned is almost as good as a victory.

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:44:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Right.

What Clinton really needed out of this was evidence to say, "Hey, superdelegates, the Wright thing has severely damaged Obama.  He can't win, so choose me."  She didn't get that.  Indiana is, I believe, over 90% white.  It's a Rustbelt state.  Demographically, on everything but age, it's better for her than Penn and Ohio.  That's why I think you see -- or would see if you were watching American television -- the narrative shifting from "ZOMGTEHMADNEGRO!" to "Hillary's screwed."

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 09:50:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I was earlier, but pressure from SWMBO who I was waking through my absence pulled me to bed. feline appeals have pulled  me to the kitchen, and thence to the shocking discovery that one county means you stilll dont know.


Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Tue May 6th, 2008 at 11:45:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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