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Only 7,000 people live in Union.  This may well come down to thousands, or even hundreds, of votes, so it could matter.  But that's a pretty small county.  If there are 2,000 Dems there, I'll be amazed.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Wed May 7th, 2008 at 12:19:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Add another 1,000 for GOP cross-over voters just to be pessimistic and give Clinton 3,000 votes for 1,000 Obama for a net gain of 2,000.  

That, I guess, would be the maximum.

Bet'cha it was the high percentage of voter turn-out in Gary that blew the models away.

by ATinNM on Wed May 7th, 2008 at 12:27:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Nah, it couldn't have simply been Gary that broke the models, because we didn't have numbers from Gary when it started turning in Obama's favor.  He seems to have done much better than expected in rural areas.  Some of them were the standard C 70-30 O, but others came in at more like 53-47.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Wed May 7th, 2008 at 12:30:25 AM EST
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