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Opinion: Why Germany Needs an Iraq Policy - International - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News

Regardless whether Obama, Clinton or McCain enters the White House, the next US government will demand greater support from Germany on the international stage, especially in Iraq. But the government in Berlin is poorly prepared for this inevitability -- and that's a serious failure.

At the end of February, Barack Obama became the first American presidential candidate to say he would demand more engagement in Afghanistan from America's allies if he were elected to the White House. It's fairly certain this demand would also apply to Iraq, where the problems are far worse than in the Hindu Kush, despite improvements seen in the military situation there in 2007. Obama's contender Hillary Clinton or John McCain would also confront their allies in the West with new demands.

A US soldier with a peace symbol on his helmut: A visit by Germany's foreign minister to Iraq is long overdue.

Germany doesn't need to worry about getting any requests to send troops to Iraq, but it will likely be asked to make a substantial contribution to help rebuild the country. If the Europeans and the Germans don't want to be faced with unpleasant surprises in 2009, then they need to determine today how far they are willing to go to support the new US government.

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Tue May 13th, 2008 at 12:07:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
the current US-European tensions are blamed squarely on the Europeans (well, not directly, but given that the US is not specifically blamed for the obvious mess they created, it amounts to the same), and lack of improvement will similarly be blamed on the Europeans.

Why would the US bother with a more friendly policy when they get away with being completely unilateral?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue May 13th, 2008 at 01:26:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Germany does not need an Iraq policy. Europe does.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Tue May 13th, 2008 at 04:37:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And so does the US.
by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Tue May 13th, 2008 at 04:56:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
will demand greater support from Germany on the international stage, especially in Iraq

I think Spiegel is off base here. While predicting U.S. misactions in the Mid East cannot be underestimated, the practical options for Obama seem perhaps two:

  • Withdraw and let the chaos begin

  • Convince U.N. or, more likely, Middle Eastern peace-keepers to help with the transition and withdraw


Eight years of hype has set the mood. The Republican supporters of the war in Iraq are crying uncle now; the last support will evaporate in November.

Yes, this goes against bi-partisan U.S. foreign policy of long standing, but when you've failed so spectacularly, your options are reduced.

by afox (afox at rockgardener dott com) on Tue May 13th, 2008 at 07:15:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Would a withdrawal really lead to chaos? The factions seem to have been negotiating successfully without US oversight, and I don't see why that should end just because an invader has gone.

A withdrawal would lead to giving up any claim on oil or income from oil, which might lead to chaos in the US.

But that's a different issue.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Tue May 13th, 2008 at 09:01:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Thank you.  The parties who will control Iraq are already in place.  Muqtada_al-Sadr recently demonstrated his ability to not only raise an army to fight but also quell their offensive on his command.  The Iraqi factions have been working on their local credibility for the past two years as they realize the US will be leaving as soon as Bush is out of office.  

The "chaos" will not materialize.  Iraq as it stood previously will not survive as it never made much sense anyhow.  The real danger comes from the possible Turkish reaction to a new Kurdish state.  

Regardless, to imply that what is happening NOW in Iraq is not 'chaos' is laughable.  The truth is that people fear an islamic-based government taking over Iraq and the word "chaos" is used as a euphemism to that.  If we had a problem with that well we should have avoided deposing the secular government that was there before us.

Realistically the Iraqi's will not support a heavy-handed religious government, their society has been secular for far too long.  Muqtada_al-Sadr is not very religious for a "cleric," don't believe the hype.

by paving on Tue May 13th, 2008 at 04:00:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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