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I was hoping for some analysis, since I'm confused. In a normal free market system if your costs of production go up you raise your price.

If the fishermen or truckers are not getting enough money from their catches or services then why don't they work on the end of the lever where they have control? I don't understand the idea for government intervention. It appears that demands are a jumble of tax elimination and fuel subsidies or rebates. This spreads the costs to the consumers anyway, just indirectly through higher taxes elsewhere or lower services.

There was a similar story today about several US airlines rolling back fare increases because they couldn't get them to "stick". This implies that other carriers are able to still make a profit at the lower fare structure, or that they can carry a loss long enough to drive the weaker firms out of business.

If there are constraints on cost increases I hope someone will explain what they are.

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 10:36:12 AM EST
I'm guessing here, but I expect that the price of haulage is largely dictated by a small number of powerful supermarkets in the same way that prices paid to farmers are.

Larger firms trying to drive out the independents is also quite possible.

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 10:39:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
At least in the Spanish case, the hauliers on strike are self-employed and make up 20% of the total. They claim that there has been a price war for months now, and that the large transportation companies are charging below cost and driving them out of business. One of their key demands is a government regulation of road transport fees to prevent charging below cost.

At least that's what I gather from the El Pais stories I have quoted in other comments.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 10:39:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In general competing firms can't raise prices unilaterally because they'll lose business.  So the game is that it's a waiting game till the least-efficient go bust.  Their competitors then buy them or pick up their business, and only then can they raise their prices.  
by jamesg on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 10:40:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
These are classic examples of Perfect Concurrency Markets. The small business owners operate on virtual zero profit, in normal conditions the income is just enough to cover costs.

The recent fuel price increases are a signal that the market will have to shrink. The small companies are the ones with less room to deal with it and are the first to go down.

Vencit omnia veritas.

by Luis de Sousa (luis[dot]a[dot]de[dot]sousa[at]gmail[dot]com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 11:11:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In a normal free market system if your costs of production go up you raise your price.

That assumes a stable ratio between demand and supply and wholly variable costs.  In other words, it assumes that the seller of services can choose to sit on his/her hands and do nothing/lose nothing rather than operate at a loss.

Real life isn't quite so tidy.  The lease payments on the rigs have to be made whether you work that week or not.   So you can't afford to turn down any work that pays more than the cost of the diesel, because £5 towards the repayments is better than £0.

(In fact, you possibly can't afford to turn down work that pays less than the cost of the diesel, because you want to be at the front of the transport manager's mind when the market, you hope, picks up.)

And the supply/demand ratio isn't stable.  There's an oversupply of drivers, which is only going to get worse as the cost of fuel forces supermarkets to take a look at their food miles, and that's also driving the price paid to the hauliers down.

I feel incredibly sorry for them.  Many of these drivers will have the financing for their rigs secured on their houses.  We do need a lot less trucks on the roads, but that's going to be made up of an awful lot of personal tragedies.

To me, it's a situation analagous to the fishing industry.  The independent hauliers have capital sunk into a business that just isn't viable any more, is in all our interests to reduce, and they deserve a fair subsidy to get out of it.

by Sassafras on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 01:03:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
To me, it's a situation analagous to the fishing industry.  The independent hauliers have capital sunk into a business that just isn't viable any more, is in all our interests to reduce, and they deserve a fair subsidy to get out of it.
You're so right.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 01:32:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A fair subsidy to get out of it, but not to continue in it (by subsidizing costs in some way). I am afraid that government intervention will be in the direction of maintaining the activity and not phasing it out.

We are choosing the path of most (long term) pain...

by t-------------- on Thu Jun 12th, 2008 at 10:42:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
rdf:
In a normal free market system if your costs of production go up you raise your price.

There's no such thing as a normal free market system.

It's like pre-Copernican astronomy - the planets move in circles, but there are epicycles which predict the real orbit. Even so - the planets really move in circles, and the rest is just details.

Only - not.

Economics won't start to make sense until there's a realisation that markets are seriously fucking stupid herd psychology at the best of times, and outright Marie Antoinette special pleading at worst.

Expecting them to be rational, predictive or sane - never mind socially literate - is like trying to have an argument with a drunken moose.

The very idea of markets should be a philosophical embarrassment along the lines of Phlogiston, Lysenkoism and really bad boy bands.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 02:56:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
We shouldn't be laughing about such a terrible topic, but you have a way with words and metaphors, TBG.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 06:05:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Lots of conjecture on what is behind the strikes, but not much in the way of solid evidence.

When people are outraged and fixate on the wrong cause for their anger the results are seldom good. In the most extreme cases we see genocide when an ethnic group is blamed for the ills of society.

In less extreme cases we see symbolic actions (such as rounding up law-abiding, employed, but "illegal" immigrants in the US and then suffering from labor shortages) which do more harm than good.

If civil unrest gets bad enough and force doesn't work (it hasn't been tried yet, but military escorts of essential commodities to cities seems a likely next step) then governments will throw some money at the protesters, or at least promise to do so.

It seems that most of the reasons posted for the protests point to small producers being in competition with big quasi-monopolies. Breaking up the monopolies would take too long and be doubtful anyway, putting in minimum prices for some services or commodities might be a short-term way to get the protesters back to work, but the bottom line still seems to be too many marginal producers with too little organizational power.

During the farm crisis of the 1870's in the US the railroads and grain mills put a squeeze on the growers. The result was the rise of the Populist movement and an attempt at political action aimed at breaking up the "trusts". It failed, but the ideas were now part of the public discourse and the effort succeeded under Teddy Roosevelt 35 years later. I don't think the truckers and fishermen are prepared to wait.

It would be wise if they formed some sort of political action group now to represent their interests. Since EU countries have more than the two parties of the US they might even be able to get some political power in the short term.

They seem to know the symptoms of the disease, but not the cause. A lack of what used to be called "political consciousness".

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 04:30:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No evidence? Knock yourself out. We've said nothing to contradict the following.

"No estamos aquí por gusto" · ELPAÍS.com"We're not her for sport" - ElPais.com
LO QUE PIDE EL SECTOR EN HUELGAWHAT THE SECTOR ON STRIKE DEMANDS
- Las principales asociaciones empresariales que han convocado la huelga (Fenadismer y Confedetrans, representantes del 20% del sector) aseguran que no quieren "ayudas puntuales, sino medidas para que el sector pueda enfrentarse a la crisis".- The main business associations behind the strike (Fenadismer and Confedetrans, representing 20% of the sector) claim that they don't want "momentary measures, but measures for the sector to confront the crisis"
- Tarifa mínima. Las principales asociaciones convocantes aseguran que llevan meses trabajando por debajo de los costes. Piden que se establezca una tarifa mínima que obligue a todos a trabajar por un precio mínimo, y evitar así competencia desleal.- Minimal fee. The main associations [behind the strike] claim that they have been working below cost for months. They demand the establishment of a minimal fee requiring everyone to work of a minimal price and thus prevent unfair competition.
- Gasóleo profesional. Exigen un "verdadero gasóleo profesional", es decir, con impuestos reducidos, como el del transporte marítimo o aéreo.- Professional diesel. They demand a "true professional diese", that is, with reduced taxation like sea or air freight.
- Revisión de tarifas. Que sea obligatorio por Ley revisar las tarifas según las subidas del precio del petróleo.- Revision of fees. Legally mandated revision of fees to match oil price increases.
- Eliminación del céntimo sanitario. Que las comunidades autónomas que aplican este gravamen por litro de gasolina (de hasta 2,4 céntimos por litro) lo supriman. Se paga en la Comunidad de Madrid, Comunidad Valenciana, Cataluña, Asturias, Galicia y Castilla-La Mancha. Su recaudación se utiliza para financiar la sanidad.- Abolishing the "health care cent". That regional governments which apply this tax on fuel (up to €0.024 per litre) suppress it. It is paid in the Regions of Madrid, Valencia, Catalonia, Asturias and Galicia and Castilla-La Mancha. The revenue is used to fund health care.
- Medidas de reestructuración. Un paquete de medidas sociales, económicas y fiscales que "beneficien a autónomos y pymes del sector ante la actual situación de crisis económica".- Restructuring measures. A package of social, economic and fiscal measures "benefitting the self-employed and SMEs in the sector facing the current economic crisis"
- Los convocantes de la huelga consideran que las medidas presentadas por el Gobierno siguen sin garantizar que no se trabaje por debajo de costes.- The organizers of the strike believe that the measures presented by the Government still don't guarantee that there won't be work below costs.


When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 04:45:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I take back my remark about lack of political consciousness. Now what they need is to figure out how to get their goals implemented in a hostile environment.

The canonical example of ineffective(?) action seems to be 1968 (1848?). Have activists learned anything since then? They certainly haven't in the US.

I don't want to sound like a social Darwinist, but subsidizing marginal producers is not a viable long-term strategy. It won't be effective and may even violate EU policies. If the real cause of price constraint is monopoly power then that's where the focus should be.

Of course when the cost of fish and transported food go up the riots will just shift to the supermarkets! (wink.)


Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape

by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 05:08:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Now we're getting somewhere
subsidizing marginal producers is not a viable long-term strategy. It won't be effective
I did some research in 2004 about the failure of Spain's subsidies to coal mining and ship building. I should dig them up. That research convinced me that any money spent on direct subsidies is best spent on helping people switch to other areas of economic activity.
and may even violate EU policies.
I have posted in another comment a translation of a summary of the Spanish government's policy proposal. The truckers' demand for a "true professional diesel" (with different taxation) has been met by a promise to "push it at the EU", presumably (my best guess here) because it violates EU rules on State aid. If I remember correctly, there was some proposal by Sarkozy recently to eliminate VAT from fuel or something like that and it had to be done at EU level
If the real cause of price constraint is monopoly power then that's where the focus should be.
When the British hauliers protested last week it was pointed out that the reason they couldn't charge more was that supermarkets were using their monopsony power to squeeze the truckers' margins. In Spain it does appear as if a few companies representing 80% of the drivers are using their oligopoly position to squeeze the independent drivers. Definitely in both cases there's a case for the competition authorities to look into the matter. The Spanish government has promised to do that (see the same comment I referred to above).
Of course when the cost of fish and transported food go up the riots will just shift to the supermarkets! (wink.)
Nobody's disputing that things are going to get more expensive. Now the question is how to help people on low incomes who may get squeezed out of buying food.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 05:20:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think this problem has also arisen in the U.S. where small haulers (typically owner-operated) work in a different environment than large ones.

For example, large shippers can arrange it so that trucks never move when empty, but independents can't. Large shippers negotiate extended contracts with their customers and include fuel surcharges that average out temporary fuel cost changes. Large shippers can buy fuel in larger quantities and get a lower (comparative) price...

by asdf on Wed Jun 11th, 2008 at 04:52:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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