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With thanks to all for making this the most commented thread ever on a very relevant topic - and not a snark in sight!  

The Irish Government is currently playing a very cagey "need time for reflection" game and trying to keep all options open - whilst being dutifully respectful towards the electoral outcome.

Other EU Governments have toned down the early "we'll carry on without the Irish" rhetoric and seem to be willing to give Cowen some time to come up with "an Irish solution to an Irish problem" (to quote a former Taoiseach, Charles Haughey).

Coming up with a viable solution will take all of Cowen considerable political skills.  Sinn Fein and Libertas have moved fast to maximise and consolidate their gains and Sinn Fein has asked for a meeting with Cowen to discuss their views on the way forward - as if they had "ownership" of the NO vote.

At the moment the NO side need to be careful not to overplay their hand.  They don't have much of an electoral mandate yet and many NO voters are embarrassed at the company they are now keeping.

For those interested I am also participating in a blog on Timesonline where Terry and the gang are spouting their usual neo-con or Eurocceptic bile at all things EU.  

Charles Bremner has published my post criticizing the Sunday Times for refusing to publish pro-Treaty articles by it's own correspondents (whilst acknowledging privately that it is against editorial policy).  This is a small example of the problems we are going to have getting a pro-EU narrative out there.

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Mon Jun 16th, 2008 at 01:57:04 PM EST
Cowen considerable political skills

You did a pretty nice profile of Bertie Ahern on the occasion of his exit. Can I invite you to write a diary about Cowen's "considerable political skills"?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jun 16th, 2008 at 02:01:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think that would be premature.  It is remarkable that he has risen, unchallenged to be the unanimous choice of Fianna Fail to lead it - it's not as if there aren't enough egos in there.  But he hasn't really faced a national crisis like this before, so the jury is still out at a national level.   He seems to have a real talent for bringing people along with him - which is crucial in this context - but in terms of charisma, vision, or ideas  - he really isn't at the races.  I'm banking on him being able to form a new national consensus on th best way forward - a uniquely political task - but it can't happen very quickly.  I wonder will other EU leaders be able to keep their mouths shut that long?  The auguries point to a major cock-up - but he may just be able to pull it off.

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Mon Jun 16th, 2008 at 03:44:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So you meant to say it will demand considerable political skills of Cowen?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jun 16th, 2008 at 04:34:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It wasn't his cock-up: Ahern left him holding the bag.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jun 16th, 2008 at 04:36:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The cock-up will most likely come from European leaders not being able to keep their mouths shut.  Cowen has done very well to unite Fianna Fail.  The question is can he re-unite the country - or at least the major part of it.

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Mon Jun 16th, 2008 at 05:01:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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