UPDATE at 10.45 AM by Frank. Early tally returns - based on very small samples - suggest a significant NO vote - possibly by as much as 60:40. This cannot be blamed on apathy or a low turnout. It marks a sea change in Irish politics as far as the EU is concerned.

Although samples are still small, and some areas are coming in with a YES majority, I can't see the overall trend being overturned at this stage.

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."