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Oh!, How I long for a lazy Saturday!  I spent the entire day at the office gathering material to update a paper I am presenting in July in Scotland.

My paper is on the garment assembly industry in the Caribbean (which serves the US market almost exclusively) and the impact of the Chinese competition.  As of late, though, the trend appears to have been reversing just a bit due to rising transportation costs.  I just learned that some 60,000 manufacturing plants (apparel, toys, etc.) had closed in China in 2008 alone.  Have to incorporate that new data into my paper.  Heading down to the office again tomorrow Sunday (!) to continue.  What fun!

The upside, though, is after the conference, I am taking a two week vacation in England.  Will be in Manchester visiting with an old friend and then I am off to a reunion of the class of 1982 at LSE.  I will end up in Brighton after that to visit my other alma mater.

"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne

by maracatu on Sat Jun 14th, 2008 at 08:32:23 PM EST
As of late, though, the trend appears to have been reversing just a bit due to rising transportation costs.  I just learned that some 60,000 manufacturing plants (apparel, toys, etc.) had closed in China in 2008 alone.

Given how cheap containerised sea freight is, one has to wonder are the margins so low even between Chinese and Caribbean labour?

Might it be also an effect of the drop of the dollar relative to the renminbi but not relative to the caribbean currencies?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Jun 15th, 2008 at 01:16:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I too would like to hear more about this.
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Sun Jun 15th, 2008 at 04:26:38 AM EST
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Caribbean currencies are often pegged to the dollar, but that opens up some interesting possibilities with Europe.  Actually, see the link (below) to Apparel News dot Net interesting developments concerning exports to the EU.

"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne
by maracatu on Sun Jun 15th, 2008 at 10:18:44 AM EST
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Give me a shout when you're in London.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Jun 15th, 2008 at 01:17:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm afraid you'll have to make a diary out of your paper...

"Dieu se rit des hommes qui se plaignent des conséquences alors qu'ils en chérissent les causes" Jacques-Bénigne Bossuet
by Melanchthon on Sun Jun 15th, 2008 at 04:40:01 AM EST
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Maybe a link after the paper has been presented?
by ATinNM on Sun Jun 15th, 2008 at 10:42:50 AM EST
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As of late, though, the trend appears to have been reversing just a bit due to rising transportation costs.  I just learned that some 60,000 manufacturing plants (apparel, toys, etc.) had closed in China in 2008 alone.
 

Do you have sources for this information? I am very much interested: I'm making a presentation on globalisation in conference tomorrow and I would like to mention this if the source is reliable.

"Dieu se rit des hommes qui se plaignent des conséquences alors qu'ils en chérissent les causes" Jacques-Bénigne Bossuet

by Melanchthon on Sun Jun 15th, 2008 at 04:43:59 AM EST
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The news is very recent and that number is from a well connected colleague that works for an organization that operates out of Washington DC and promotes investment in Latin America and the Caribbean.  He gave me the number after a meeting with apparel producers and shippers.  I found it astounding as well, but the reputable Lehrer Newshour had a small item last week that said Mexico could return to be an export platform to the US because high transport costs were making China less attractive.  The scoop is at Apparel News Dot Net.  Also check http://www.apparelandfootwear.org

Do I get a commission?
:)

"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne

by maracatu on Sun Jun 15th, 2008 at 10:06:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Add to that the fact that we can now use Mexican fabrics.


"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne
by maracatu on Sun Jun 15th, 2008 at 11:49:34 AM EST
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