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So MAD doesn't work?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jun 24th, 2008 at 11:11:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It works 99 % of the time. Which is not good enough and which means we must strive to abolish nuclear weapons in the long run.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Wed Jun 25th, 2008 at 06:37:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
After all, nuclear weapons have been around just 60 years and we have already almost blown ourselves up at least three times.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Wed Jun 25th, 2008 at 06:39:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, but additional military buildup is not going to significantly mitigate the consequences of the remaining 1 %, so there is no reason to bother with it and quite a lot of reasons to not build up the ability to project power beyond our own territory and our allies'.

And I am not sure that completely abolishing nukes is necessary, even if it might be desirable. Cutting down the aggregate global stockpile to less than 50 megaton should be sufficient. Fifty megaton would hurt badly if they were used, but if you assume that one megaton creates roughly one megadeath (1 million dead) it would not be worse than a major shooting war between two great powers using 21st cent. conventional weapons (by way of comparison, the Soviet theatre of WWII is estimated at between 20 and 100 megadeath depending on how you count and who you ask, IIRC).

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Wed Jun 25th, 2008 at 07:22:35 AM EST
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