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I've maintained since before the war started that the US had several objectives in Iraq.
  1. Replace bases lost in Saudi Arabia
  2. Install Iraqi client regime that will supply oil at favorable terms
  3. Intimidate neighboring states
  4. Keep resources away from China

The progress:
  1. The US has built four megabases and about 15 smaller bases in Iraq. The bigger bases have complete airfield capabilities, US style housing and amenities such as McDonald's and entertainment and sports facilities. When McCain says we will be in Iraq for 100 years he is referring to these bases and using Korea and Germany as the model. Why would the US have spent billions on construction if is was planning to leave? Formalizing the arrangement that was planned from the beginning is just paperwork.
  2. Partially successful, The oil supply is increasing, but the client regime is not yet functional. Remember the oil ministry was the only building protected after the invasion.
  3. Syria and Libya are behaving "better". Egypt and Jordan are not problems so the intimidation is partially successful. The fact than Iran has failed to be impressed is like a burr under the saddle to the Bushies. It is causing them to overreact, or at least to make people think they will overreact.
  4. China has been blocked from Iraq, but while the Bushies were preoccupied has been locking up deals in Africa and elsewhere. Count this objective as a loss.

I think Chalmers Johnson explained the base issue in one of his books a couple of years ago. There is nothing new here except that the asleep-at-the-switch press has started to notice.

Policies not Politics
---- Daily Landscape
by rdf (robert.feinman@gmail.com) on Sat Jun 7th, 2008 at 05:09:45 PM EST
I agree, of course the U.S. is not planning on leaving -- "victory" or not.

I disagree about the oil flowing in Iraq. If it's flowing it's being "stolen".

What Syria has been doing is being less of a target than Iran. Syria is not behaving "better" if Israeli attacks on their alleged nuclear facility are to be believed.

Lastly, China has not been blocked from Iraq at all. In some ways, the Iraqis seem to be viewing China as their "best option" partner for oil exploration and exploitation.

For example:

Oct 2006: Iraq, China to revive Saddam-era oil deal as Baghdad seeks investment

China and Iraq are reviving a 1997 deal worth US$1.2 billion (€850 million) signed by Beijing and Saddam Hussein's government to develop an Iraqi oil field, Baghdad's oil minister said Saturday.

Officials will meet next month to renegotiate the agreement over the al-Ahdab field, said Iraqi Oil Minister Hussain al-Shahristani. He was wrapping up a three-nation tour to secure investment to revive his country's oil industry...

The new Baghdad government courted Beijing because Chinese producers have been willing to invest in Angola, Sudan and other countries that are considered too dangerous or politically isolated...

Beijing had been thought to be out of the running for major contracts in postwar Iraq...

April 2008: Iraq qualifies four Chinese companies for oil contracts

Four Chinese oil companies were among 35 companies that qualified to participate in Iraq's coming licensing round for oil and gas contracts, the Iraqi Oil Ministry said on Tuesday.

A statement issued by the ministry said that CNOOC China LTD, CNPC, Sinochem and Sinopec Group won rights to bid tenders to develop oil and gas fields in Iraq.

From 120 applicants around the world, only 35 companies and consortia, were qualified in accordance to criteria put by the Iraqi Oil Ministry, according to the statement.

Plus, as you note, China has been securing oil resources everywhere else in the world too.

by Magnifico on Sat Jun 7th, 2008 at 11:04:56 PM EST
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