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The youngin's will show up.  Studying up on this stuff over the last few months, I can assure you of that.  They were there in 2004, but not enough of the Millennials were voting-aged.  Having purged those clowns from Gen X from the ranks of the "youth voters," they'll show up in bigger numbers and with a wider margin for Obama this year than they will have done so since perhaps their grandparents with Roosevelt.  Obama will win them roughly 2-to-1, I'd guess, if not by more.

As evidence, I offer one word: Iowa.

The cell phone issues is less of an issue these days, because groups like Gallup now poll cell phones.  But, as you allude to, if they're not accounting for the proportion of the overall electorate that will be made up of young people, the polls will be skewed in St John's favor.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Sat Jul 19th, 2008 at 11:07:51 PM EST
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OK already.  I admitted at the time I blew the call re: young voters in Iowa.  Whadda-ya want?  A signed confession?  Lemon on your pancakes?  :-D

Saying you're right, do you realize what that means?  We may be seeing the end of the GOP as a national political party.

by ATinNM on Sat Jul 19th, 2008 at 11:15:51 PM EST
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We can only hope.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Sat Jul 19th, 2008 at 11:34:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The not-entirely-insane Goopers will become Blue Dogs, i.e. the 'moderate' wing of the Democrats.

It's not even close to being over, because Obama is not - you know - actually all that progressive. A few million people switching registration doesn't mean squat if there isn't a tsunami-sized policy shift.

Obama may make some paddling pool ripples - he's going to have to, to prove that he's not a slightly milder and more personable Bush II.

But there will be no tsunami. And the rot will still be there under the surface, the networks of crazies will still be dropping spores, waiting for a better time to sprout.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Sun Jul 20th, 2008 at 06:07:21 AM EST
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The youngin's will show up.

I certainly hope so.  I vividly recall voting for Humpfrey in '68, my 2nd Presidential election, after having been so bitterly disappointed by LBJ after the '65 escalation in Vietnam. (I was proposing a National Day of Prayer to have millions of people praying for him to have a heart attack.  Call me disillusioned.) I was NOT excited by Humpfrey, but even staying at home was not an option.  California seemed in play.

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."

by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun Jul 20th, 2008 at 08:58:32 AM EST
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