There Was a Class War. The Rich Won It.

What happens if there's a class war and only one side bothers to show up and fight it? That's what happened over the last thirty years. There was a class war, and the rich won. Period. It's over, they kicked our knees out from under us, put on their steel toed boots and spent the last thirty years telling us that they were going to trickle on us and we're going to like it and beg for more.

Seems like hyperbole? It's just the numbers. The top left shows the manufacturing wage earner's hourly wages. Not "family income" which includes both of you going to work, but hourly wages. The only reason it's goods producing is they go back longer, but other charts show the same pattern.

So, if you're an ordinary slob, you haven't had a raise in over 30 years. In fact, your real wage peaked over 30 years ago and it's never recovered.

This would be ok if the US hadn't been getting richer, getting more productive, ever since then, but I'm sure you won't be surprised to hear that, well, actually, productivity and whatnot has kept going up. Yet somehow wages didn't.

And he sees the Anglo disease too:

Damon Silvers, whom we can thank for the wages and productivity chart, thinks it has a lot to do with a hostile anti-union environment and with the simultaneous decline of progressive taxation. I'd say he's got a big part of the picture though not all. The key part that he has right is simply that deliberate government policy meant an end to wage increases. Those deliberate government policies benefited the rich greatly, and the people in Washington and New York who made most of the decisions were very close to the people who benefited the most.

The main problem was this: real consumption of stuff that requires energy, specifically oil, could not be allowed to increase faster than the combination of oil supply increases and efficiency increases (we now produce twice the real GDP/barrel of oil we did in the 70s). If it did, not only do you get real widespread inflation, but you risk losing control over the price of oil.

We are now, of course, seeing what happens when you lose control over the price of oil.

The second big problem was that the oilarchies who were getting a lot of money with the new, higher price of oil, were not consumer societies and the money they were gaining was not being spread around. Rather it was pooling in the hands of a few nobles, chiefs and robbers and those folks needed something to spend that money on. Despite what some might think, trashing hotel rooms, doing blow and buying hookers can only use up a small amount of money, at least when you're really really stinking rich.

In short, rich oilarchs were sitting on a pile of money and they wanted to buy things with it. Western things. Western... companies. There were two obvious ways to deal with that. You could put on some form of ownership controls, whether formal or informal, or you could make your rich rich enough to compete with their rich by inflating the value of the paper assets that they were competing over. In Europe they mostly chose to just say "no, you can't buy that." American elites were smarter though, they realized that this was a chance to become stinking rich.  If our rich people were rich enough, they could bid up the price of companies and assets so the oilarchs couldn't snap them up.

So they made themselves rich. They reduced taxation on themselves in a number of ways, they broke union power, they got rid of old New Deal laws that had stopped speculation from getting too bubblicious and they went on a bubble spree - shoving money into various different asset classes, driving them into the stratosphere, taking the profits and then letting the taxpayer eat the loss. They took as much public infrastructure private as they could and they did so for cents on the dollar. They imported manufactured goods from the east to keep goods inflation down and they exported jobs to low cost domiciles to keep wage push inflation down.

They also ran, in most periods, very tight dollar policies, so that there were fewer dollars around than the rest of the world needed. Needing dollars badly, people had to sell to the US cheap. And since everyone from outside the US wanted in on whatever the bubble of the day was, they kept giving the US real stuff (oil, goods) for pieces of paper. Those pieces of paper represented something real, at the end of the day: they represented the future. But the future always seems a long way off until suddenly it's today.