Here are some amalgamated polls from Pollster.com
Ohio -- a state McCain has to win:
Florida -- a state McCain has to win:
Viginia -- a state McCain has to win:
New Mexico -- a state McCain needs to win:
North Carolina:
Texas -- if McCain loses this state he's hosed:
wheeeeeeeeeee!
OK, how about
Arizona? --
Ah, yes. h'rumph
Now their latest National Poll:
Looking at this it is easy to see Obama hasn't won, yet, but the McCain campaign is edging into some deep trouble. If McCain doesn't do something pretty damn soon he's going to be too far behind in states he absolutely has to win ... to win. Obama is opening GOTV offices like flowers after a rain, training field and precinct workers, working the streets, getting a solid ProAm campaign organization in place. The O-Man is going to be one tough cookie to beat. He's getting his team into the field. McCain's campaign is still choosing, and losing, players.
There's no question McCain can still push through. There's also no question that window is closing.
CAVEAT: I wrote McCain off last fall. I thought the guy had blown his chances to get the nomination. It's still puzzling to me HOW he got the GOP nomination but I suspect it was due to (1) 'He's not the other guy' and (2) being the heir apparent in a Top/Down organization.