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I believe someone deconstructed the "demographic bomb" scenario a while back. And the Chinese can certainly do that math as well as anybody, should they be inclined to do so.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Sun Jul 27th, 2008 at 01:06:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I have not read that diary and at the moment cannot.

What is its thrust and application here?

The Chinese can do the numbers, and some most certainly have.  I am simply proposing this as one possible way to convey the importance of getting the environment in shape over continued aggressive growth.

Cynicism is intellectual treason.

by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Sun Jul 27th, 2008 at 08:24:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
i'm sorry, i did read that diary.

her point is well taken (if i understand correctly) that in the long-run (around 150 years), current birthrates do not really matter as far as the resulting make-up of "working age" vs. "non-working age" segments of the population.

i will see if i can find some numbers on what the changing demographics of China's population are, in particular with respect to the balance of working age to non-working age people.

Cynicism is intellectual treason.

by marco (cowannar at gmail punkt com) on Sun Jul 27th, 2008 at 10:02:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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