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In my opinion, yes.

Obama is creating his own field organization parallel to, but slightly different from, the Democratic organization.    These people are registering new voters in massive numbers and while so doing are creating a database they will be able to use to get those people to vote.  With vote-by-mail they will be able to 'bank' their hard support, work on the softies up through election day.

So he'll have his own largely voluntary (no bucks cost) organization, the regular Democratic Party organization, and the unions.  

The GOP can't match this.  The GOP depends on either paid staff (expensive) or fundies (morons) to do this work.  

So McCain is heading into an election facing an insurgent candidate with mucho organizational support, much bucks, and a wildly enthusiastic electorate.  Meanwhile, his campaign is sucking wind, he's losing the free media war, he's got money problems, and the fundie base -- without which the GOP is toast -- is lukewarm to hostile.

Plus he's shit as a campaigner.

by ATinNM on Tue Jul 29th, 2008 at 08:12:11 PM EST
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Not to mention, even on the paid staff, Obama's breaking records, and, unlike national committees, he and his people actually seem to know what to do with them.

If nothing else, we're certainly going to inherit a hell of an infrastructure from his campaign.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Jul 29th, 2008 at 08:23:45 PM EST
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The organization Obama is building gives him a chance to be a power-broker and national political figure for decades to come.
by ATinNM on Tue Jul 29th, 2008 at 09:03:02 PM EST
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Yes, and if we can build on it, we'll have a solid foundation to build a serious, long-term majority.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Jul 29th, 2008 at 09:30:00 PM EST
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Can't see Obama as the political leader we're going to need in 2 or 3 years.  It's not just the crummy economy.  It's the crummy and crumbling economy, Peak Oil, Peak Water, Climate Change, Peak Food, & all the other stuff we talk 'bout 'round here.
by ATinNM on Tue Jul 29th, 2008 at 11:38:53 PM EST
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Plus, he's shit as a candidate.

He's the sitcom candidate, the presidential wannabe who needs a laugh track to make him look credible.

Bets on early retirement for health reasons, and a quick swap in for Mitt 'Light Fingers' Romney, or Mike 'Batshit' Huckabee?

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Tue Jul 29th, 2008 at 08:50:16 PM EST
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Actually, I was thinking about that, given that he had that mole/spot/whatever removed.  If it comes back showing he has malignant melanoma again -- I think he had it back in '01 -- he may have to step down.  And the way they behaved when releasing the info shouldn't be very reassuring to the Republicans.

I doubt they'd want to run Romney.  For all of his flaws, Romney at least has a drop of talent as a politician, even if he's a total fraud and dumber than catshit.  Why waste him?

Huckabee is a possibility.  Gingrich, too.  A war in St Paul wouldn't be out of the realm of possibility either.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Jul 29th, 2008 at 08:59:22 PM EST
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McCain is the guy unless he steps aside.  With his ego I don't think that will happen.
by ATinNM on Tue Jul 29th, 2008 at 11:29:33 PM EST
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Check this out:

by ATinNM on Tue Jul 29th, 2008 at 11:46:19 PM EST
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Gawd it gets better (or worse, depending.)

From Alas, a blog

The Tax Policy Center prepared an interesting report this week, noting the key differences between the economic policies articulated by John McCain and the economic policies presented by John McCain's presidential campaign. There's a bit of a gap -- to the tune of $2.8 trillion (that's "trillion," with a "t").

    [...]

    How does the McCain campaign respond to this? As it turns out, hilariously.

    Douglas Holtz-Eakin, McCain's chief economic adviser, told Slate, "[McCain] has certainly I'm sure said things in town halls" that don't jibe perfectly with his written plan. But that doesn't mean it's official."

    Got that? If we want to better understand John McCain's economic policies, we should overlook what John McCain says about his economic policies. McCain's "official" positions don't come from McCain.

by ATinNM on Wed Jul 30th, 2008 at 12:22:06 AM EST
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