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  1. Comparing six-month to twelve-month averages is still sloppy. If you want to make a point, you could compare the relevant six months of all the past years to the six months you have data for this year. I don't know what that would yield; I haven't run the numbers. But then again, I'm not the one trying to prove a point using those data.

  2. You don't have to fit to see a trend in those data. Chi-by-eye more than suffices. As an aside, we know that there is an effect of solar activity, and we know that it is cyclic on the scales presented here. But it doesn't explain the underlying upwards trend (as another aside, it is - among other things - to smooth out this cyclic behaviour that one normally looks at global mean temperatures over a 30-year running average).

- Jake

Ceterum censeo Chicago esse delendam
by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 03:47:15 AM EST
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