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Being the old fashioned fart that I am, there's a simple answer to:

... the interaction of increased productivity with aggregate demand that does not seem to be keeping pace.

Aggregate demand is not keeping up with increased productivity because the majority of the world's population don't make enough money to eat 3 square meals a day much less purchase consumer goods.  When all a person's salary is going to food and rent there isn't anything left over for that snazzy puce and mauve digitally controlled FingerPlucking Nose Hair Removal System™ (with the KungFu© grip!)

In the First World, the trans-nats have gone about their merry business destroying local economies and now they're wondering where all the local consumers went that used to purchase their goods.  

A regular practice of mine, back when I had a subscription to the Economist, was to check the Productivity Increase Chart in the back pages against the Wage statistics.  The only country that regularly matched Productivity Increase and Wage Rate Increase was Sweden.  The US regularly had increasing Productivity and decreasing Wages.  The other countries listed fell somewhere in the middle.

It doesn't matter when n workers go from making a to 2_a_ number of goods if the price of those goods means there is only a amount of goods that can be sold because nobody else can afford them.  

A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run

by ATinNM on Sun Jul 6th, 2008 at 02:55:57 PM EST
Of course, I agree, but what I know not is how to do something about it before an "endgame collapse" of the system as it eats itself.
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Sun Jul 6th, 2008 at 03:23:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Somehow, we have to devise rhetoric that will convince  majorities in all of our countries that the policies that we have pursued have in fact been designed by the beneficiaries of those policies specifically to enable dominant elites to extract the maximum amount from the rest of society.  Humor is always helpful.  

Melo's comment on ceebs' blog leaps to mind. The discussion being about the impact of bio-fuel on food and energy costs combined:

"car eats our food, we can't eat oil.

car wins, game over"

Ideally, if someone could get this line to some of the writers on Saturday Night Live, and should the straight man give it a proper set-up, it could be devastating.

 

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.

by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Sun Jul 6th, 2008 at 08:29:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
heh, i almost didn't post that comment, snark too dark for public consumption...

The Emperor Has No Growth

the opportunities for constructive satire kinda jump off the screen with this one...

what we need are great graphics.

The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it. Chinese Proverb.

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 01:13:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And I always thought that H.C. Anderson cleaned up "The Emperor's New Clothes."  In the case of such an event, the crowd would be more likely to tear limb from limb the little boy who made the observation.  This would be for revealing them to have been such fools.  Dark enough?

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 03:10:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
a race for the dark, uh-huh.

not always in the mood, but your idea would make a great cartoon.

i was thinking more along the lines of deconstructing the viagrafication of masculinity.

The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it. Chinese Proverb.

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 05:34:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

deconstructing the viagrafication of masculinity.

Laudable goal that!  However I fear it would require the purchase of time for public, (pubic?), service announcements.  My solution would be to place a 100% tax on all drug advertisements.  25% would go to such counter Pharma advertisments.  The remainder would go to Medicade.  I don't know how it works over there.  Is prime time commercial TV viagrafied?  How about running counter adds, how poorly the stuff works, featuring a computer generated "sprite" of Berlusconi?  Two birds with one stone?  Make that a kidney stone please.  Such an ad would be the political equivalent of a kidney stone for good ole' S.B. (Has he got his initials backwards?)

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.

by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 07:25:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
my fave big pharma ad i saw in a doctor's waiting room in the usa, in a med journal that was full of colour whole page ads for medications. the centrefold was an ad for a medication whose unique purpose was to enable patients to remember to take their other medications.

wot's next, thunk i, another one to help remind you to take that one?

who said perpetual motion was impossible?

something else that may amuse you: here in yurp rupert murdoch has kindly provided us with access to the much lauded fox news (we distort, you deride) channel.

it is wonderful enough to see the ollie north show, hannity, and o'reilly, but in the c.5 minutes per 15 devoted to commercials in the usa, we used to get a world weather loop, now we get little nuggets, a ridiculously large proporton of which are about: (sit down before reading further)

natural remedies, solar energy, all kinds of green stories, herbal lore.

go figure...

to imagine the kind of mind that could sit through fox programming interspersed with pharma ads....

can't. go. there.

steven king time

The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it. Chinese Proverb.

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 08:55:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Rupert decided about two months ago that his favorite color was green.  That was probably the color of the faces of some of his highly paid Foaminators. He reportedly decided it was good business. If it lets him run ads for green products it seems like an improvement.  I, however, have alternatives, poor though they be, so I don't watch Faux News.  I'll put on the hair shirt to read the Economist, but that is the upper limit of my gag reflex.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 09:42:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
heh-

if i was living stateside, i wouldn't need to watch fox, it'd be happening right outside the window!

but i would read the economist, not because i think their mission is noble, but because they write the densest coverage.

dense both ways!

frothy fox or turgid economist, pretty much the same agenda...

The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it. Chinese Proverb.

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Tue Jul 8th, 2008 at 01:52:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yeah, Fox only qualifies as dense in one sense.  Your reasons are the same as mine for the Economist.  I hold my nose and read it for the diamonds in the dung hill.  I especially appreciate their international coverage.  Been reading it off and on since 1965, when I read all coverage from 1919 to 1924 on the "French Occupation of the Rhur" for a grad seminar.  Topic was Reaction of British Quality Press to.... So I also got familiar with the Nation, the Observer and others.  Certainly don't read it cause I agree with their views.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Tue Jul 8th, 2008 at 03:16:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't know either.

After four decades of working for change on the macro-scale, and failing miserably, I've decided to concentrate on my family, friends, and community.  That's where I can be effective.  

A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run

by ATinNM on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 12:39:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Bingo.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 01:01:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This is, of course, the Achilles Heel of Bushonomics, which is to capture all productivity gains as profits, on average, rather than dividing them between profits and wages ... under a capitalist version of a monetary production economy, recipients of profit income receive them due to holding financial wealth assets. Therefore, a substantial portion of income channeled into profits goes into accumulating financial wealth ...

... which can either be intermediated into newly created financial assets or can be used to bid for existing financial assets.

Creating a new financial asset needs somebody accept a new financial liability.

... and so with a growing share of income diverted away from the income recipients who will reliably spend it on consumption, the difference was made up by creating new wealth assets in the form of extending additional credit to wage earners.

And that is quite obviously sooner or later going to be Ponzi finance, since those entering into the liability side are not receiving the income gains to permit steady-state service of those financial obligations.

Of course, it was the same -onomics when it was Clintonomics before that and Bushonomics before that and Reaganomics before that, but it was under the current Resident that the final target was achieved of, on average, capturing all productivity gains as profit gains.


Utsukushikereba sore de ii

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 10:20:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]

This is, of course, the Achilles Heel of Bushonomics, which is to capture all productivity gains as profits, on average, rather than dividing them between profits and wages ......

Of course, it was the same -onomics when it was Clintonomics before that and Bushonomics before that and Reaganomics before that, but it was under the current Resident that the final target was achieved of, on average, capturing all productivity gains as profit gains.

Sad but true.  Even sadder is that I cannot recall any coverage that actually analyzed that fact, either on TV, including PBS, or in print media that I have followed over that entire time span.  All I recall is coverage of the fact that wages have stopped increasing and income distribution has become more skewed.  

Our media seems effectively inhibited from "connecting the dots."  Even now.  Anyone who did effectively connect the dots in the media would certainly be attacked by the RW as "engaging in class warfare."

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.

by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 11:09:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes ... it would seem that is part of the driving force for constant spurious accusations of class warfare anytime anyone comes close to recognizing that the class assault has been going on for three decades and the "class warfare" charge amounts to an accusation that someone in the wage-earning 95% of the population is trying to defend themselves and their peers.

"The Great U-Turn" was an earlier work that looked at the transition out of the Fordist era into the third era of globalisation (though I am not sure it was widely known as the third era of globalisation at the time that The Great U-Turn was written).


Utsukushikereba sore de ii

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 12:59:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
FWIW, and well-known too:

In Class Warfare, Guess Which Class Is Winning - New York Times

"There's class warfare, all right," Mr. Buffett said, "but it's my class, the rich class, that's making war, and we're winning."


When locusts move on, they leave nothing behind
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 03:38:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thats right.  He and Bill Gates Sr. have spoken out recently.  I even commented about Buffet's challenge to other executives to show that they paid a greater portion of their income in taxes than did their secretaries!  How soon I forget.  Do you think that even these comments have been well or widely covered?

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Mon Jul 7th, 2008 at 07:41:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In the NYT interview I quoted from, the full sequence is (my bold):

In Class Warfare, Guess Which Class Is Winning - New York Times

It turned out that Mr. Buffett, with immense income from dividends and capital gains, paid far, far less as a fraction of his income than the secretaries or the clerks or anyone else in his office. Further, in conversation it came up that Mr. Buffett doesn't use any tax planning at all. He just pays as the Internal Revenue Code requires. "How can this be fair?" he asked of how little he pays relative to his employees. "How can this be right?"

Even though I agreed with him, I warned that whenever someone tried to raise the issue, he or she was accused of fomenting class warfare.

"There's class warfare, all right," Mr. Buffett said, "but it's my class, the rich class, that's making war, and we're winning."

By "well-known", I meant among ETers, since it has been cited here, in this op-ed particularly:

European Tribune - France is not in decline and the last thing it needs is 'reform'

Warren Buffett said that what the wealthy in the US are carrying out - and winning - is class struggle.

Known to the general public, though, I doubt it.


When locusts move on, they leave nothing behind

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Jul 8th, 2008 at 02:12:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The present period has been called a "second gilded age". Was 100% profit capture also achieved by the Robber Barons during the first Gilded Age?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jul 8th, 2008 at 09:16:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm not sure we can know that ... however, during the last age of globalization, the US was a low-wage country with an almost indefinite labor supply available to anyone who could bid it off the farm, its not like there was a large wage share available to be captured in the US during the late 1800's.

Further, the focus during the period of railroadification of the US seems to have been on converting small local monopoly profits in small local markets into national monopoly profits ... and so much of the leverage to increase per unit monopoly rents was on the side of reducing costs through scale economies.


Utsukushikereba sore de ii

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Tue Jul 8th, 2008 at 02:17:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
during the last age of globalization, the US was a low-wage country

compared to what and when? The US had some of the highest wages in the world at the turn of the century.

by MarekNYC on Tue Jul 8th, 2008 at 02:45:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Henry Ford was possibly the first US entrepreneur to pay well above prevailing wage rates.  I believe this started with or shortly after his introduction of the assembly line, ca. 1908.  Prior to 1900 the USA was, as Polanyi described, a land where one had, effectively, "free labor"- James Fisk was infamous for importing various nationalities to pit against one another, Hungarians vs. Italians, etc, "free land"-there were homesteads available for the taking until about 1900, and "free money"-dig up gold or silver and have it minted.  By his analysis, economics being the allocation of various scarce resources amongst various competing ends, economics didn't apply until land, labor and money became scarce.

I would expect that skilled workers in "high tech" areas such as electrical generation and distribution, telephone distribution and maintenance, etc. paid well above subsistence levels.  The lower end of the labor spectrum was fertile ground for the muck-rakers and for social activists such as Jacob Riis, and Margaret Sanger.  

The infamous shirt factory fire in which large numbers of women perished because the doors were locked and the windows barred, Riis's photographs and more was used by the Progressive Republicans, with whom Theodore Roosevelt aligned himself, to pass a series of reforms, including the creation of the FDA and legal actions against the Trusts, resulting in the breakup of Standard Oil, etc.

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.

by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Wed Jul 9th, 2008 at 12:15:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Real wages sucked everywhere for workers in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, they sucked a bit less in the US. They were also going up in all the major industrial economies in that period (e.g. roughly doubling in England over the latter half of the nineteenth century according to Jurgen Kuczynski's figures, going up by about forty percent in the US in the two decades preceding WWI according to the NBER). Ford and stockmarket boom notwithstanding, wages were fairly stagnant in the twenties.
by MarekNYC on Wed Jul 9th, 2008 at 04:30:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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