It is not only the underlying assumptions (which were not that difficult to discover if one passes behind the propaganda), but especially the quality of the argument, the near perfection of the synthesis.
The only problem that I have with your analysis is that it is loosing some of its novelty (countdown to $200 oil after countdown to $100 oil doesn't add that much per se).
More than analyzing the flaws of the current system, what we need, I think, is to meditate on the near and medium term future (post-peak, the end of permagrowth). How will this future be like? How should we move in order to make it better?
I must confess that, up to now, forecasting the short term future was not a very complicated exercise for myself. But we are living interesting times (as in the curse), and I confess that I am always expecting to have your insights on what the future might look, because what I see is too cloudy to get a clear picture of it.
I actually do think you don't underline the bad news, it is just the future that looks rather bleak...
On the other hand, there is a need for the discourse in this diary to reach a wider audience, which has yet to hear it. I'm not sure how to do that either.
At least I'm privileged enough that my professional life is actually helping things go in the right direction. In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
I think it is too late for that: Reality is changing now, your analysis, albeit correct now will be dated in one year (I am using my foggy crystal ball which says that resource scarcity issues will accelerate in the next year dramatically).
The "anglo model" is getting to its knees, we are entering a scarcity world.
How to deal with scarcity, the end of permagrowth, "back to basics" will be the next narrative, just around the corner. We need to act on that...
My prediction is for October 23rd. Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
