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What makes you think that the information war/game is over already? Did people stop criticizing the Iraq war once Bush declared mission accomplished?

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$E(X_t|F_s) = X_s,\quad t > s$
by martingale on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 07:42:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In Europe, the view before and after the Iraq invasion hasn't much moved from "very negative".

But I sure hope you may turn out to be right in the end, people starting being more picky with the information they use, and discerning more complicated patterns in the present situation...

by balbuz on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 08:16:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't think the information war matters, except in the sense that it might improve McCain's chances.

This kind of event is a bigger, better dog whistle for the low information types.

Up in the sunnier parts of the tree the policy view was already set, and I don't think anything much has changed here.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 09:23:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't think I was necessarily concluding anything about the future, other than pointing out that there's no time limit on forming public opinion. There's no rule that says 24 hours after the end of open hostilities, whichever opinion has the most number of adherents has won.

Public debates exist for as long as people are willing to raise an issue by publishing pieces about the topic. So the real question would be have 99% of bloggers, editorialists and talking heads on radio and TV grown tired of the issue? As long as they keep arguing about whether Russia was right or wrong there is no winner and the issue isn't settled. It's a matter of attrition, not logic.

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$E(X_t|F_s) = X_s,\quad t > s$

by martingale on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 09:13:12 PM EST
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