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It's far from clear to me what global public opinion is. That Russia lost the information war in the US and their various clients around the world is unsurprising, and I would guess that it has less to do with Russian propaganda skills than the way in which Western(TM) press operates.

But the US and assorted clients are not the world. What does China say? India? Mercosur? Asean? Iran? Africa?

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 11:34:20 AM EST
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It's far from clear to me what global public opinion is_

Confused, indifferent?

by MarekNYC on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 11:38:49 AM EST
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If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.
by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 11:43:46 AM EST
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Is there such a thing?

We have trouble identifying a European public sphere, which means a European public opinion might not exist, but globally?

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 11:46:47 AM EST
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Just to clarify, when I say "global popular opinion" I'm not referring to one opinion, which is so absurd it's funny anyone would even imagine I meant that.  I am referring to the attitudes of those throughout the world, not just limited to those in Russia.  Maybe it's an "American English" thing?  Anyway, the specific number of differing opinions of Russia and what they are exactly was not my point.  My point was, they exist, and ignoring them might not be such a hot idea.

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 12:08:50 PM EST
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Notice too that any statement by 3rd party states condemning the conflict is taken as a statement condemning the Russians by the American newsmedia.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg
by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 12:57:35 PM EST
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It's far from clear to me what global public opinion is. That Russia lost the information war in the US and their various clients around the world is unsurprising, and I would guess that it has less to do with Russian propaganda skills than the way in which Western(TM) press operates.

That sentence makes absolutely no sense to me because in the case of international affairs their skills are only as good as they are effective vis-à-vis the way in which Western(TM) press operates.  These do not exists in respective vacuums when we're speaking of foreign relations (domestic affairs is of course a different matter, but we're talking about foreign relations here.)  It would be the equivalent of saying "it has less to do with Russian military defense skills than the way in which NATO operates."  In a conflict between the two, the effectiveness of one is measured by the ineffectiveness of the other.

But the US and assorted clients are not the world. What does China say? India? Mercosur? Asean? Iran? Africa?

Very good question.  But as much as I would love for Mercosur media to strongly influence the attitudes of Americans toward Russia, I don't think they do.  It's not fair, but it is true.  Let me be clear I could not agree more with the following

If I wanted to hear guidance and opinion on the Russia-Georgia debacle, I'd fish a mongrel cat out of the trash-bin and listen to its theories before I'd listen to these two. What does the President of the Republic of Burundi think about this situation? His opinion ought to matter more. -Natalia Antonova

As to "But the US and assorted clients are not the world," I've certainly never claimed it is (and am frankly peeved about how everyone has taken my comment and turned it on its head, taken it to imply things no rational person would ever think).  Russia hasn't illustrated a concern for the opinions of those in most countries, but it is the US and assorted clients which it's at odds with at the moment, so that's why we're talking about them.  If Georgia were armed by and an ally of India, we'd be talking about India's opinion of Russia.

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 12:34:01 PM EST
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That sentence makes absolutely no sense to me because in the case of international affairs their skills are only as good as they are effective vis-à-vis the way in which Western(TM) press operates.

Assuming that Russia is playing to the Western(TM) crowd. Which is not at all clear. Frankly I don't know whose crowd the Russians are playing to other than their own.

Anyway, sorry if I misconstrued your comment.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 12:42:38 PM EST
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Assuming that Russia is playing to the Western(TM) crowd. Which is not at all clear. Frankly I don't know whose crowd the Russians are playing to other than their own.

That was PRECISELY the point of my original comment.  

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 12:47:26 PM EST
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Oh. Sorry. My mistake.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 01:15:46 PM EST
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I think that's true of Russia (concerned with banging home realpolitik points and not at all with mass communications other than perhaps domestic), but I'm intrigued by Yasha Levine's assertion that Georgia has played a PR blinder.

Seen from here (though it's true it's impossible to define a "European" opinion, and views differ depending on where in Europe you are), I don't get the impression Georgia succeeded in fully persuading people of the rightness of its cause and its victim status. When you see the generally Atlanticist Spiegel print this from its correspondent in Tbilisi:

Fragile Cease-fire : Russian Army Clears Out Georgian Army Bases - International - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News

Liars don't tend to be believed. That is why news agencies and foreign correspondents reacted calmly to the announcement from the Georgian National Security Council on Wednesday morning that 50 Russian tanks had just rolled into the Georgian town of Gori.

Unfortunately, Gerorgia's security council has lost its credibility. Georgia has made official announcements before about attacks that didn't happen -- as have the Russians.

outright calling the Georgians liars, it seems clear the communications plan hasn't worked too well for Saakashvili. This is not isolated, there's been a certain breeze of scepticism blowing through a significant part of the European media (that I've seen) regarding Georgia's claims.

However, it seems the rolling fire of unverifiable-for-the-moment claims went over more successfully in the American media. Better orchestrated for those media? Planned in advance for them? The Nation piece about Randy Scheuneman, for four years a paid lobbyist for the Georgian government, ending his official lobbying connection only in March, months after he became Republican presidential candidate Senator John McCain's senior foreign policy adviser (cited in Frank's diary here), is intriguing. Even if this is not a Wag The Dog play intended to sharpen the contours of the New Cold War and bring McCain on, "Georgian" PR certainly seems to have been conceived of with the American media in mind. Or is reality more nuanced?

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 01:29:20 PM EST
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Maybe I was wrong.  Maybe Russia's winning the PR war.  I mean, just look at the headlines!

Russia Not Being Imperialistic!

Putin Is Not Hitler

Putin for US president - more than ever

A CZAR IS BORN: BAD VLAD WINS WAR, DUPES WEST & PROVES HE'S GENIUS

LOL.  Sorry.  How can I resist?

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 02:29:39 PM EST
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I don't know how you can resist or not resist, but it's no answer to my post.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 02:57:07 PM EST
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Did you want an answer?  I thought you were being rhetorical with your questions about Georgia's pr strategy.  I don't have the answers to that, or any insight into European (non British) journalism, either.  Sorry.

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.
by poemless on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 03:00:24 PM EST
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You have no insight into what Yasha Levine, whom you quoted, says? No insight into American media treatment of Georgia's PR?

Sorry I wasted your time.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 03:05:00 PM EST
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Where is this attitude coming from?  If you're looking for a fight look elsewhere.  I've not said anything to deserve this, "Sorry I wasted your time."  You mentioned Der Spiegel and were asking about the Georgian media was planned in advance for a US audience.  They're good questions even I don't have the answers.  

As to the American media treatment of Georgia's PR, there has not been much if any - everything from Georgia was taken as fact.  

"Pretending that you already know the answer when you don't is not actually very helpful." ~Migeru.

by poemless on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 03:11:18 PM EST
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The kind of discussion I was hoping for turns out to have taken place on Martin's thread.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Aug 15th, 2008 at 10:06:59 AM EST
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Now the United States has ended up in a situation in the Caucasus where the Georgian tail is wagging the NATO dog.  

Very nice.  

The Fates are kind.

by Gaianne on Thu Aug 14th, 2008 at 10:01:22 PM EST
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Thanks to Cryptogon, who highlighted this analysis from the Guardian.

They are not all following the neo-con line.  

The Fates are kind.

by Gaianne on Fri Aug 15th, 2008 at 03:52:10 PM EST
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Lol, you saw it first in this very thread (and you gave me a 4 for it!) :-)
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Aug 15th, 2008 at 04:16:12 PM EST
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The Fates are kind.
by Gaianne on Sat Aug 16th, 2008 at 07:10:07 AM EST
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usually meas osmething along the lines of what CNN, BBC etc are peddling in Engklish language news which is highyly influential in the circles or world leaders etc and is also often a sourse used by all kinds of local stations. So saying the Georgians won the information war is statuing the obvious. Western corporate media was never ever going to go against the west. Georgia didnt have to do anything. They even get away with a dose of ethnic cleansing. Russia couldnt have won the "disinformation" war.

There is another side apart from the propoganda operations of western media. Take time out to sit down and chat with ordinary people and guage things for yourself. I persoanlly live, work and travel SE Asia. The perspective I get is that Putin has always been admired as a leader who sticks up for his own countries intersts and doesnt bend over for the USA. Even now many out here see the Georgia conflict very different from how the western media play it. Then again when you have repeatedly seen how the western media lie about things you know better about you become a bit more discerning of what you are presented with than the average westerner or at Least Amrerican who is far more likely to buy into the crap peddled by the free media. The intense unpopularity of America even in SE Asia (it is worse in many other places) should also not be underestimated in forming a global opinion that is not the one that western media, PR companies, analysts, pollsters and other such propoganda outlets will have you believe is actually reality.
In this day and age the propoganda war is of such importance that you really dont know who you can trust in terms or sources.
In short what is described as global opinion is just another creation of a propoganda machine. True global opinion is not something that is ever reallyu measured and is somethign I would hazard a guess that nobody in Washington would actually want anyone knowing.

by observer393 on Fri Aug 15th, 2008 at 03:14:58 AM EST
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