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It's absolutely hysterical:


Mr Hutton warns that with threats of a new Cold War opening up with Russia - which supplies a large part of the gas Britain is forced to import - securing reliable energy supplies has become vitally important.

Russia supplies only marginal volumes of gas to the UK, if at all, so that sentence is plain false. Most UK imports come from Norway and, in the near future, will come by LNG from places like Qatar (big contracts have been signed).

And the Soviet Union reliably supplied gas to Europe during the real Cold War - indeed, the big pipeline deals were negotiated in the early 80s, at the height of geopolitical tensions between East and West. But hey, here are our politics for the next decade:


"Energy security is fundamental to our existence as an independent, democratic, free state," he says. "I think the events not just in Georgia, but over a longer timescale, have really confirmed the growing importance of energy independence for the UK.

We have a new enemy, yippee! We can build more coal plants and more nukes without oversight.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Wed Aug 27th, 2008 at 07:01:36 PM EST
I'm sure executive branches around the world are rejoicing - things just haven't been the same since the Soviet Union vanished. The new upstarts aren't worth the pain - their stateless nature means they are not subject to the same limitations as government bureaucracies are. The Soviet Union and now Russia are fantastic - their intentions are as easily understood as anyone's, and the fear component is as "good" as any bogeyman.

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Aug 27th, 2008 at 08:09:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
yup, i think the fearbuzz of 'terra' was wearing off a bit...

commies are super-handy right now, cuz those mean chinese are beating up tibetans, undercutting our work force, poisoning our dogfood and polluting up a storm.

start with the russians though, they're badass enough, and getting uppity.

move in the gunboats, crank up the terra alerts, under the bed with all thinking citizens, (since they have too little disposable denaro to do any more serious shopping any more...)

The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it. Chinese Proverb.

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Aug 27th, 2008 at 10:35:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]
what commies. Good capitalists all, if anything even more corrrupt and crony oriented than our bunch. The Russkies have even turned all religious on us, just to add to their old-time Red atheist social conservatism.
by MarekNYC on Wed Aug 27th, 2008 at 10:55:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Back around 1989 and the fall of the Berlin Wall the cartoonist Tolles, then from Buffalo, NY, produced a two panel cartoon.  The first panel showed an areal view to the Pentagon with the caption: "Planners at the Pentagon are working hard on how to bring the Soviet Union down."  The next panel showed a quadragon version of the pentagon with the caption: "Planners at the newly downsized quadragon are working hard on how to bring the Soviet Union back!"  That captured it better than any pundit I read.  There was panic in the M-I Complex when Democrats started asking: "Where is the peace dividend?"

If sanity be culturally normative, then by the norms of this culture I claim insanity.
by ARGeezer (argeezer a in a circle yahoo dot com) on Wed Aug 27th, 2008 at 11:18:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The US needs an enemy, if only for internal politics (or economics). They would just not allow Russia or Iran to play nice. The propaganda logic does not care that the US spends on military more than the rest of the world combined. At least Oceania was a matching opponent in "1984".
by das monde on Thu Aug 28th, 2008 at 12:39:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Not just capitalist but neoliberal too.
...Medvedev holds the same neoliberal and meritocratic values as his G8 peers; he is no more of a socialist or even a social democrat. In a telling passage in his inaugural speech, he said he wanted more Russians "to swell the ranks of the middle class and gain access to good education and healthcare". There was no suggestion that single mothers, the elderly, the poor and unskilled workers might also deserve decent services. No word either about stopping the decline of state schools and hospitals and their accelerating marketisation, as parents and patients have to pay for what used to be free while private institutions emerge to cream off the best staff. Everything is subordinated to the rightwing yuppie view that only the middle classes matter, since they (ie people like me) are the motor for growth and democracy.

Jonathan Steele, At last, a true moderniser in Moscow. Why punish him?, Guardian, Monday July 14 2008
by Gag Halfrunt on Thu Aug 28th, 2008 at 06:55:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
>
I think the events not just in Georgia, but over a longer timescale,

Where he says "Over a longer timescale" how long's he talking about?  that looks suspiciously like he's calling Britiains involvement in Iraq a complete disaster, albeit indirectly.

Life should consist in at least fifty percent pure waste of time, and the rest doing what you please.

by ceebs (bunchofwankers (at) gmail (dot) com) on Wed Aug 27th, 2008 at 08:34:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]
sadly, I think he's just referring to the 2006 "gas crisis" - you know, the one where one freedom-loving ally Ukraine took the Russian gas going to Europe and Russia got blamed for it.

Just for kicks, Russia should let Shell or BP have some gas at the Russian border and deal with the Ukrainians themselves. That might be enlightening.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Thu Aug 28th, 2008 at 06:37:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Hmm, now that Tymoshchenko is Prime Minister I don't think there would be a problem...

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Aug 28th, 2008 at 06:38:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Don't forget that there are two Ukrainian gas businesses:

  • the official one, whereby the national Ukrainian gas company gets a given volume of gas (around 20-25bcm/y) in exchange for transit fees for Russian exports further West. This is a mostly fair deal for both sides, although it allows for lots of funny accounting

  • the shady one, where shady intermediaries linked to Gazprom sell to shady buyers in Ukraine, which onsell to friends and other clients at lowish prices and take a nice cut along the way, shared with the Russian intermediary. Gazprom gets very little money on that chunk of the business, and final customers get a more or less good price depending on how friendly they are with the intermediaries.

Clans fight permanently to be the preferred party to that second deal, and the clans that have control over the national Ukrainian gas company can use that position to blackmail Gazprom, or rather those of its Russian managers involved in that trade, into better side deals. Occasioanlly, those 'side' facts spill into the open.

There is also some fighting over the first deal, as gas prices go up while transit prices don't seem to need to change as much, and Gazprom gets unhappy about the original deal (although note that in 2006, it was Ukraine that chose to re-open the issue despite then benefitting form a 5-year contract frawmework with favorable prices in that respect, ie a guaranteed volume of gas for free for 5 years).

So imagine Shell coming with its gas at the Russian-Ukrainian border.  It will be willing to pay market rates for gas transit - to the Ukrainian gas company. But the gas can still be siphoned out by Ukrainians, becuase they can - the question then become, (i) why would they do that (because gas is valuable and they can onsell it), (ii) who can do something about it (the Ukrianian authorities, but could luck with that), and (iii) what can Shell do (they have nothing to offer, unlike the Gazprom managers who can offer to allocate company income for personal gain)?

Like I said, it would quickly put Ukraine in an interesting spot, and Gazprom in an even more interestign one, because they (well, again, its managers) would actually have solutions that would get Shell some money... if not the amounts they's expect.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (jeromeguillet@yahoo.fr) on Thu Aug 28th, 2008 at 06:59:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Given that
In the business period of her life, Tymoshenko involved business relations (either co-operative or hostile) with many important figures of Ukraine, first of all, in Dnipropetrovsk. The list includes Pavlo Lazarenko, Viktor Pinchuk, Ihor Kolomoyskyi, Rinat Akhmetov, and, of course, Leonid Kuchma who at that time was the President. All of them were originating from Dnipropetrovsk. As part of her gas-dealing business, Tymoshenko has also been closely linked to the management of the Russian Gazprom.
Maybe as long as Tymoshenko is PM the official and shady sides will be on the same page?

Or is the Dnipropetrovsk clan the same as the Gazprom faction?

And what is the deal with RosUkrEnergo?

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Aug 28th, 2008 at 07:04:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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