But I closed the deal for Obama.
Which means you did more for the campaign than quite a few of the Chicken Littles on dKos have done, I reckon. You flipped two folks while the blogosphere was flipping out over what I thought was pretty likely to be one night's outlier throwing off the dailies' averages.
Now that Obama appears to be on the move, they're all breathless, and maybe -- just maybe -- we look at the possibility of McCain choosing a running mate and starting his convention with a growing Obama lead hanging over his head. If I'm Obama, I'm finding a theme to blitz McCain and his running mate on next week.
Corruption, entitlement and sleaze would be it if I had to choose. Put out one vicious ad per day, and send the surrogates out to hammer the RNC. Get Hillary's people together on it, too. McAwful, Rendell, Begala -- all of them. They're good at staying on message.
The fact that McCain's now snapping at reporters and trying desperately to gain attention suggests, again, that panic is grabbing Grandpa Simpson and his minions a bit. WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
That's gonna feed to the networks at some point and McCain's gonna tank. The POW card is getting threadbare already with even MoDo calling him on it. keep to the Fen Causeway
The only thing that can save their bacon is another massive GOTV of the Evangelical/Christian Right. So the thing to watch is McCain's "Enthusiasm" numbers. A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run
And that will be that.
At this point the R's only chance is a sniper on the roof.
But somehow, I'm not yet convinced.
This is grasping at straws. The veep crap, the lame-o-meter-through-the-ceiling "congrats" ad, the bitchfest about the columns, etc. It's really quite pathetic.
Which is why I'm inclined to think Gallup's polling matches McCain's internal polling. The Democratic convention has gone pretty damned well. Michelle and Hillary kicked ass. Joey and Billeh were quite good (and their effect hasn't been felt yet). And it's probably a safe bet that Obama's not going to be awful.
I could be wrong. Maybe they just want attention. But these sure are the signs you look for when you want to know if the opponent is frightened. WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
So you don't think choosing a recently pro-choice Mormon or a still pro-choice Jew would be good for McCain?
The Mormon vote is locked for the GOP already. The Jewish vote is locked for the Dems. As much as these can can be, of course. A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run
Every GOPer I've spoken with is truly scared shitless of McCain choosing Lieberman, because it would rally the Dems and potentially cause a floor fight at the convention.
Now with Mitt -- sure, you further solidify an already pretty solid Mormon vote. (Utah can then, I think, be called a "solid McCain" state. You go, girl.) But you also run the risk of further depressing your base in the South and the more Evangelical areas of the West. People like -- oh, I dunno -- McCain's mother (who clearly hates Mormons).
Finally, do you really want to send Mitt out to get slaughtered by Biden? I know McCain hates Mittens because he thinks Mitt's a pussy (which, granted, he is), so maybe he'd enjoy that, but McCain does presumably want to win. And when he doesn't have the questions handed to him ahead of time, McCain is a pretty lousy debater, even relative to Obama (who isn't exactly God's gift to debating). Why risk getting beat in the presidential debate and then watching your veep compound the problem by being truly slaughtered?
Pawlenty is the safest choice, but I don't think he gets you anything. He's not terribly popular in Minnesota anyway. And why should he be? This is the guy who vetoed the transportation bill before the bridge collapse. He's also got all the charisma of a turnip, and is about as deep as Dan Quayle.
But he doesn't piss anybody off.
I'm still betting on Mittens. But I'd go with Pawlenty if I were McCain.
For the record, Mitt's at about 51% on Intrade. Pawlenty's at about 48%. So it's almost even money. WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
Anyway, thought you'd get a kick out of this bit from the Onion: I dream of a day when my Democratic nominee will be judged, "not by the color of his skin but the arugula-laden contents of his recycled Whole Foods grocery bags." WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
The GOP could very easily open a ton of offices directly after their convention. I admit that doesn't look likely, now, but it would be a nice PR coup after all the foo-foo about Obama's effort.
10-4 on the argula thing. ;-) A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run
It's far too late for them now, and McCain's not the kind of guy the evangelicals will come out for in masses.
Putting Mr. squirrel frier on the ballot might do the trick, but they're not going to do that.
It takes time to build a GOTV machine but once built regular maintenance can keep it ticking over. The Evangelical turn-out was the triumph of the GOP in '04. How much of the machine is left, how many people they can get to staff the machine, how effective the machine will be are open questions.
Given the '06 results I think it is safe to assume this machine is in need of oiling and, perhaps, a new transmission. In the GOP's favor is loosely attached, low information, voter participation and interest in politics increases in a presidential year. (Loosely attached, low information, voter pretty much defines the Evangelical block, Praise Jeebus!) A restocking, recapitulation, of this machine could, would, fly under the notice of journalists since a good deal of work could be done within existing churches and social (personal) networks. A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run
let them see what Holy Wrath looks like, since they're all so keen at calling it down for others... The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it. Chinese Proverb.
But if that's the rule, I'll do canvassing. I've managed to bring all of my friends and most family onboard (grandparents were a tough sell since they're afraid Obama will "only be for The Blacks," but they came around when I reasoned with them on how stupid and ignorant an idea that was). And I've dutifully done rebuttals to the smear emails and all that.
Hell, even a few of the racist Georgia kinfolk got onboard. "Well, he's a n-----, and I hate the Democrat Party, but we cain't have McCain." (shrug) Whatever works, I guess.
You're from New York, so you're automatically fucked with the rest of the country. I'm amazed they allowed you to canvass with the whites. WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
"Well, he's a n-----, and I hate the Democrat Party, but we cain't have McCain."
What's the emoticon for bug-eyed astounded?
If that attitude spreads it'll be a massacre. A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run
But he grew up rural Georgia in a different time. He was born into racism, and it's just who he is. But he's got the sense to say, "I don't give a damn what color this guy's skin is, because we need the Democrats."
And there are more of them out there. If we can win even a small number, we'll win this election in a walk, and we'll get those seats we need to pound the agenda down the Reps' throats. WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!
The strange thing is Obama should have a certain appeal to southern whites because that culture has more in common with AAs than they do white Yankees or Westerners. A doo run-run-run, a doo run-run
for all the real ethnic harmony that hawaii models in some ways, it is as rare to see afro americans as it was in santa cruz california.
and s.cruz has that place a few miles away where it is predominantly AA, begins with a W, it's on the tip of my tongue.
hawaii has some military AA's, but they're just passing through. The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it. Chinese Proverb.
