As the government weighs how to bail out the financial sector, the engineers of the plan face a dilemma. The higher the prices the government pays for troubled mortgage securities held by banks, the more the rescue will bolster those banks and sustain the lending that is vital to the broader economy. But higher prices would also mean a worse deal for taxpayers. In other words, the more effective the plan, the more expensive it will ultimately be. Under both the Bush administration's proposal and many of the variations finding favor among Democrats, the government would buy up to $700 billion in shaky assets now on the books of financial companies. As the government does so, it will be forced to grapple with the same question that has vexed the brightest minds on Wall Street for more than a year: What are the darn things worth? The very reason for the financial crisis of the last 14 months is that no one knows for sure. Wall Street created securities so complex that their value can swing wildly depending on what happens to the overall housing market. For example, a particular type of mortgage-backed security might offer a giant payout if home prices only drop another 10 percent, but be worthless if they drop another 15 percent.
The higher the prices the government pays for troubled mortgage securities held by banks, the more the rescue will bolster those banks and sustain the lending that is vital to the broader economy. But higher prices would also mean a worse deal for taxpayers.
In other words, the more effective the plan, the more expensive it will ultimately be.
Under both the Bush administration's proposal and many of the variations finding favor among Democrats, the government would buy up to $700 billion in shaky assets now on the books of financial companies. As the government does so, it will be forced to grapple with the same question that has vexed the brightest minds on Wall Street for more than a year: What are the darn things worth?
The very reason for the financial crisis of the last 14 months is that no one knows for sure. Wall Street created securities so complex that their value can swing wildly depending on what happens to the overall housing market. For example, a particular type of mortgage-backed security might offer a giant payout if home prices only drop another 10 percent, but be worthless if they drop another 15 percent.
the more effective the plan, the more expensive it will ultimately be.
Effective at what, exactly? Saving bankers? Yep. In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
Sigh... In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
