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Palin isn't the point. People don't really vote based on who they want to be VP. But the reflection on McCain's judgement is wonderful. And that'll hold true if he dumps her. As Drew says, it's particularly good that this is happening during the convention when lot's of low info undecideds have just begun to really pay attention.
by MarekNYC on Tue Sep 2nd, 2008 at 06:20:38 PM EST
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And some early signs are actually pointing to a reverse-bounce for the GOP right now from Palin and the convention.  I don't know if that will hold.  We'll see.  But that'd be big.

Obama's surging.  McCain's falling.  Gotta keep it up.

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Tue Sep 2nd, 2008 at 06:32:31 PM EST
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Agree the situation looks promising.  

We need to keep our objectivity going, though.

Palin can pull it out with a boffo speech.  The GOP has the capability to run a lean, mean, Gettin' Out the Vote Machine.  The Fundies and Conservatives are stoked.  McCain is starting to raise money.  Their Propaganda Message people are First Rate.

This ain't anywhere near over.

by ATinNM on Tue Sep 2nd, 2008 at 06:55:25 PM EST
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Normally the conventioning parties get about 4% extra votes down to exposure during their conventions it then falls away. Is there any case before of a party actually managing  to drop their numbers during their convention? and if so did they recover in the couple of weeks after?

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Tue Sep 2nd, 2008 at 07:21:45 PM EST
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Here's a good analysis of a Convention Bounce.  Naturally the only negative bounce was good old McGovern in '72.

(oh well)

by ATinNM on Tue Sep 2nd, 2008 at 09:24:17 PM EST
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