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Both Merill and Lehman were also pretty agressive in writing stuff down by the end. But they couldn't afford reality, as you say. In the case of GS it's ability was helped by jumping out of the residential RE pyramid scheme before it collapsed, and then betting against it, making money that way.
by MarekNYC on Thu Sep 25th, 2008 at 12:04:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Right, GS was the first bank to get out of subprime, and remember that Paulson was the CEO and left for the Treasury in 2006, at the top of the housing bubble.

He knew what was coming. He and Bernanke just expected the Fed's balance sheet to last a bit longer.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Sep 25th, 2008 at 12:08:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
GS and MS get a huge cash handout, they reinvent themselves as 'proper' banks to insure some of their losses, and they wipe out the immediate competition.

Because they have significant cash assets they can afford to go on a buying spree after prices stabilise.

Is there a downside here? (Not counting PR loss of face, which only really matters if it's translated into policy.)

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Sep 25th, 2008 at 12:31:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Because they have significant cash assets they can afford to go on a buying spree after prices stabilise.

The will need to go on a buying spree for regional depository banks. At least the suggestion is that MS will merge with a large traditional bank but that GS will acquire some small ones.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Sep 25th, 2008 at 12:39:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They will not need to go on a spending spree. Has Paulson not already reserved the "right" to assign agents and consultants in the matter of "resolution"?

viz.

(3) designating financial institutions as financial agents of the Government, and they shall perform all such reasonable duties related to this Act as financial agents of the Government as may be required of them;

Does Dodd's plan eliminated that "right"? I dunno. What I do know is the "crisis" amounts to controlled demolition by FRB "core banks" and "primary dealers."

the OCC supervises the five largest bank derivatives dealers in the United States.

See this article on industry consolidation following the S&L RE scam. Regional banks and remaing S&Ls are now being seized by FDIC, predictably, slowly and steadily.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Thu Sep 25th, 2008 at 01:05:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Consolidation in the U.S. Banking Industry:
Is the "Long, Strange Trip" About to End?
, FDIC Banking Review

You will not get that story on Krugman's blog. But it might get a mention in one of his many, many books. I wouldn't know though.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Thu Sep 25th, 2008 at 01:10:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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