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There is this paper in VoxEU that lists banks that have gone too big to rescue by their home regulators alone:

http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/1669

Fortis tested the problem and went well (good cross-border synchronization). Others may not fare so well. Deutsche Bank looks scary.

On the point of higher gross leverage in the EU than US, we come to realize that being more advanced in adoption of IRBA risk-weighted assets also means EU banks had a head start in regulatory arbitrage. Which means more pain in the future, and depository business routinely threatened by the capital market arms of universal banks.

Pierre

by Pierre on Mon Sep 29th, 2008 at 10:50:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Fortis tested the problem and went well (good cross-border synchronization).

BeNeLux has been very well economically integrated for over 50 years, so no surprise there...

Elsewhere, I don't know.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Sep 29th, 2008 at 10:53:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Interestingly, BBVA is on the list but Santander isn't. So Santander is not only bigger but also better capitalised.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Sep 29th, 2008 at 10:55:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Another data point, via FT Alphaville: Europe's financial fear rankings
From analysts at Cazenove - two lists ranking the wholesale funding needs of European banks. They help explain why certain financial names were the biggest fallers across all continental markets on Monday.

Ranking as a multiple of market cap:

...

And also by short-term maturity:

...

That typical debt liabilities with a maturity of 2008 or 2009 are typically 30% of banks' debt liabilities and that these are typically 5 times market cap is evidence of huge duration mismatches (long-term assets, short-term liabilities). The liquidity crisis should last at least another year...

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Sep 29th, 2008 at 11:20:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Commerzbank and Dexia look to be the next on the list for some serious wobbling.
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Mon Sep 29th, 2008 at 11:33:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Uh-huh, that went fast...

Bloomberg.com: U.S.

Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) -- Dexia SA, the world's biggest lender to local governments, will get a 6.4 billion-euro ($9.2 billion) state-backed rescue after worsening financial markets drove the shares to a record decline.

Belgium's federal and regional governments, France and the company's largest shareholders will supply the funds, according to a statement from Belgian Prime Minister Yves Leterme today.



*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue Sep 30th, 2008 at 02:38:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Another cross-border rescue, then?

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Sep 30th, 2008 at 02:59:03 AM EST
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