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My take is that oil price is formed in a chaotic environment, with major players having hidden agenda's.

Hidden from the public at large, governments, one another and intellectuals alike.

The chaotic nature comes from the fact that there are too many variables to start with and that these are beyond anyone's control. One or more variables changing in seemingly insignificant ways can result in major consequences anywhere anytime.

So much for the intellect, planning and a feeling of security.

There are ways we can make progress regarding these matters though. But that takes an overhaul of our current ways of relating to ourselves and others.

I hope we can make the transition

  • from an over reliance on the intellect amongst bloggers here, as well as academia and policy makers in general and an under use of this faculty in the corporate domain
  • to one where the intellect is situated, by embedding it in the larger scope of human capacities

This is described well by http://www.presencing.com/capacitybuilding/globalclassroom.shtml

An example and invitation can be found on http://docs.google.com/Presentation?id=dc32w233_471hb9dg4cm

Greetings,

Emil Möller

by emilmoller (emil@beyondthewalls.eu) on Fri Sep 5th, 2008 at 08:01:12 AM EST
I wouldn't call naked profit a hidden agenda.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Sep 5th, 2008 at 08:19:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
no, but the way this is pursued in the middle of actors that would could hinder this spells spin

see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Corporation

by emilmoller (emil@beyondthewalls.eu) on Fri Sep 5th, 2008 at 10:44:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Sure, but that's the way the system works.

A vivid image of what should exist acts as a surrogate for reality. Pursuit of the image then prevents pursuit of the reality -- John K. Galbraith
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Sep 5th, 2008 at 10:49:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
the more I think about it, the more the dominating systemic dimension becomes evident

I can't come up with anything in my mind that would be able to steer away from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collapse_(book). Nor do I see this with anyone else, who remains in the rational domain

Trans rationally there's a lot. But that's sheer impossible to bring across, in the sense of successfully inviting people to explore this frontier

by emilmoller (emil@beyondthewalls.eu) on Fri Sep 5th, 2008 at 01:36:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
However, even in an environment with a lot of apparently random noise there can be a trend. It seems doubtful that oil will be at, say $20 any time soon--barring a revaluatin of the dollar!
by asdf on Fri Sep 5th, 2008 at 09:52:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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