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Pardon me. That is not an answer. It is another question:  How did the Swedish government distribute securities certificates to taxpayers so they could collect dividends or obtain by capital gains?

It is my very broad understanding, from exchanges here by Sven, that the Swedish government forced certain banks into Ch. 11, of which the conservator was a government operated, special purpose entity (SPE or GSE). Details of the disposition of these banks' --the number of which-- obligations and subsequent impairment to the SEK --not a reserve currency-- haven't been discussed here.

In any case, the nearest facsimile of conservancy that the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 comes to is discrimination among securities (warrants), where provisions requiring purchase of non-voting preferred stocks or conversion of non-voting common stocks to preferred stocks (or bonds if existing shareholders reject additional issue of preferreds) in the event the financial institution is delisted; it's stocks are not marketable. Such an event, insolvency, may then place the Treasury in the unenviable role, being perhaps the majority stockholder by volume, of "owner" or conservator or, practicably speaking, receivor of the book and shareholders' equity, if any.

That situation exemplifies the result of advancing poorly managed firms $700B that does not in itself exist to simulate income that does not in itself exist.  Meanwhile, Citibank purchased Wachovia Bank for $43B ($1.9B in cash).

With that kind of leverage, the US Treasury could purchase a lot of viable banks and brokerages for $700B. Then, because the Treasury brain-trust is so, so financially smart, invent some structured ABS to sell US households that doesn't (much) dilute everyone's "equity" and positions "our" banks for more regular, stringent management review. Unless of course Obama renews Paulson's contract as promised.

Where's that plan?

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Tue Sep 30th, 2008 at 05:18:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Here is the speech delivered to the Federal Reserve Symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming in 1997 by       Riksbankschef Urban Bäckström What Lessons Can be Learned from Recent Financial Crises - The Swedish Experience. (pdf)  He was the Director General of the Swedish Bank Support Authority -- the body created to manage the crises.

The IMF published a pamphlet: "The Nordic Banking Crises: Pitfalls in Financial Liberalization?" By Burkhard Drees, Ceyla Pazarbaşioğlu, 1998 ISBN 1557757003, 9781557757005.  If you go to Google Books, move to the next page (Table of Contents), you can click on "The Swedish Experience" and that will take you directly to the relevant pages (29 - 31).

The solution applied in Sweden consisted of three main parts (from the IMF pamphlet):

  1.  The Swedish government guaranteed "all bank commitments be met on a timely basis and that no depositors, creditors, or other parties would suffer any loses; only share capital and perpetual debentures were excluded from the guarantee.  (In one case (Gota Bank) the parent company Gota AB was declared insolvent and the Swedish government took over the parent company at no cost: the shares were declared to be worthless.)  This guarantee was temporary.

  2.  The long-term financial costs should be minimized and that paid-out support should be recovered to the fullest extent possible.  

  3.  The Sveriges Riksbank was to provide liquidity to banks but injection of state money, as needed, into the banking system was an On-Budget item.  

The total committment was projected to be 5.9% of GNP (Skr 85 billion) the direct cost, to the Budget, was 4.2% of the GNP (Skr 61 billion.)  This last has decreased from loan-loss recovery, equity sales, and other asset-management practices.  Total outlay of the crises:  4% GNP in cash with 1.9% GNP recovered.  

It is to be noted the Swedish plan was directed at the Banking system NOT the "Financial Sector" -- which was the thrust of Bush administration, as I analyze it.

by ATinNM on Wed Oct 1st, 2008 at 01:43:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, I see the government lost taxpayer money, though it was all for the good.

I read the speech and ordered the publication (GOOG cookies are prohibited on my machine). It took me a while to stop laughing when I read this.

[W]e started to study historical and international records of financial crises...

Irving Fisher (1, 2) and an anthology edited by Martin Tradeable-Gas-Rights Feldstein, The Risk of Economic Crisis, including Benjamin Friedman, Paul Putz Krugman, Lawrence Summers [who needs no introduction], and E. Gerald Corrigan: The Counter-intuitive Who's Who of Fiscal Policy Gurus.

Happily, I persevered as did Mr Backstrom and colleagues. For the Swedish authorities had only seven banks, dominating 90% of the financial sector, to "restructure." I noted with interest the Riksbank's (FRB equivalent?) material demonstration of full faith in these banks' directors, hand in hand with daily auditors of the Bank Support Authority.

Collateral was not required for the loans to banks, neither intraday nor overnight. The banking system was free to obtain unlimited liquidity by drawing on its accounts with the central bank.

Arguably the conformation of monetary policy from fixed to float up to the Maastricht Treaty catalyzed the greatest challenge of re-coupling financial and economic incentives domestically. So his analysis implies.

Rescuing the banking sector was necessary to avoid a collapse of the real economy. There is no evidence that a credit crunch developed, though anecdotal information did suggest that creditors became more restrictive.

But what I found most interesting in Mr Backstrom's remarks is the consensus on organizing principles of an RFC-type strategy, according to him one or the other.

  1. "[D]eferring the reporting of [bank] losses for as long as is legally possible and using the bank's current income for a gradual writedown of the loss-making assets." This is more or less how Paulson Geithner LLC is directing Congress to approve the Bailout Bill. However the compound "difficulties," as Mr Backstrom predicted it,"leading to much greater problems when they ultimately materialize," are further glossed by obscure valuation methods and tax easements in the measure and conjoined with HR 3997 and 1442, sliming its way to the House floor. (At this point I digressed to research further USC and US case law re: impaired obligation of contracts and federal requisitions)

  2. "[A]n open account of all expected losses and writedowns ... This clarifies the extent of the problems and the support that is required. Provided the authorities and the banks make it credible that no additional problems have been concealed, this procedure also promotes confidence. It [also] entails a risk of creating an exaggerated perception of the magnitude of the problems."

The US Congress is simply incapable of adopting #2. And so goes the prospects of any kind of New Deal or "Aftercare" or "Semi-Swedish Solution"... old_equity vs new_equity. LOL.  

Anyway, thank you for that information.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.

by Cat on Thu Oct 2nd, 2008 at 02:45:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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