Say that holds (unlikely) with the last 9%. The result:
Obama 56 McCain 44
Compare with Abramowitz's model:
Obama 57 McCain 43
Like I said, not expecting it, but I found it interesting. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
and the collapse of the GOP into a fringe, nutburger political party for the next decade.
That's is the kind of thing that happens during re-alignment elections. So it's not impossible. Interesting, even hopeful, but ... yeah, "don't expect it."
