Hotline basically says the race hasn't moved since the Palin speech. Gallup and Ras probably say the same, since Monday was clearly a very good night -- too good, truth be told, I think -- of polling for Obama (and Monday dropped out of the averages today). So in fact the race may not be closing at all.
If McCain's speech really was a bust with the general public last night, I don't expect you'll see much more continued movement to him. Maybe a bit. Or it might be that McCain's bounce ramps up a bit, leaving us at basically an even race.
But you know by now that everything is good news for John McCain.
And you know by now that the Chicken Littles will piss their pants over every little Tweetgasm and Concern-Trolling in the tradmed. Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
European journalists collectively think that the US is too racist to elect Obama. Every poll that indicates McCain winning is an 'I told you so' moment.
My personal emotions towards the contest so far swing between satisfied and annoyed. It's going roughly as I expected it to go. I keep hoping we're arriving at the breaking point -- that it will "pop" permanently and be easy-ish from that point on. But we haven't hit it, at least not yet.
That annoys me, because at some point I'm left to think, "Wow, maybe the country really is too stupid to get its shit together."
And, of course, the press annoys me, which is why I don't bother watching the news (but have learned to gauge press behavior pretty accurately based on what's being discussed on the blogs).
But, then again, McCain has only led in, I think, about six of the last one hundred and twenty polls. Another ten or so have been tied, and the rest have gone for Obama. So I know the votes are there to win it, and my gut feeling is that it's simply a matter of giving undecided voters time (obviously barring some kind of epic scandal). Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin
With 39 million watching McCain's speech, though, Obama might be in for another temporary bump in the polls.
you are the media you consume.
