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Every poll that has Obama and McCain even will get reported, as well as every poll in which McCain narrows the margin significantly, as if it is the actual state of the race.

European journalists collectively think that the US is too racist to elect Obama. Every poll that indicates McCain winning is an 'I told you so' moment.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Fri Sep 5th, 2008 at 04:43:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, to be fair, while I don't think race will lose him this election, it's not out of the realm of possibility.

My personal emotions towards the contest so far swing between satisfied and annoyed.  It's going roughly as I expected it to go.  I keep hoping we're arriving at the breaking point -- that it will "pop" permanently and be easy-ish from that point on.  But we haven't hit it, at least not yet.

That annoys me, because at some point I'm left to think, "Wow, maybe the country really is too stupid to get its shit together."

And, of course, the press annoys me, which is why I don't bother watching the news (but have learned to gauge press behavior pretty accurately based on what's being discussed on the blogs).

But, then again, McCain has only led in, I think, about six of the last one hundred and twenty polls.  Another ten or so have been tied, and the rest have gone for Obama.  So I know the votes are there to win it, and my gut feeling is that it's simply a matter of giving undecided voters time (obviously barring some kind of epic scandal).

Conservatives want live babies so they can raise them to be dead soldiers. - George Carlin

by Drew J Jones (myfriends@thisispancakes.com) on Fri Sep 5th, 2008 at 05:09:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Of course. This race is Obama's to lose, and the dynamics are going exactly the way Atrios said they would, a few months ago. Down to the debates. The prediction is that most people will break to Obama in the last week if he holds his own against McCain.

With 39 million watching McCain's speech, though, Obama might be in for another temporary bump in the polls.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Fri Sep 5th, 2008 at 05:17:29 PM EST
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