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M of A - The Costly New Supply Route To Afghanistan

On December 21 I wrote:

NATO is negotiating with Russia over opening a new supply route through Russia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. The U.S. plans a different route through Georgia, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan.
...
I doubt that the effort will succeed. Russia will have a say in this no matter how much bribes the U.S. is willing to pay the dictators of those countries.

An additional supply route to Afghanistan without Russia is not possible. Such a solution will have to be negotiated.

But astonishingly last Tuesday the NYT reported this:

Faced with the risk that Taliban attacks could imperil the main supply route for NATO troops in Afghanistan, the United States military has obtained permission to move troop supplies through Russia and Central Asia, Gen. David H. Petraeus, the top American commander in the Middle East, said on Tuesday.
...
The general had previously visited Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan to discuss the issue.

"There have been agreements reached, and there are transit lines now and transit agreements for commercial goods and services in particular that include several countries in the Central Asian states and also Russia," he said.

Had I missed all the negotiations? No. Russia did not know about the deal Petraeus announced:

by Fran (fran at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jan 26th, 2009 at 02:41:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If they have to have a 3,000 odd mile overland transit for supplies then they've lost. Such a supply chain is a fantasy. Jeez, a 5 year old would have a chance to disrupt that.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Mon Jan 26th, 2009 at 05:30:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, that's why reinvestment in the US targets new transmission line installation from Wyoming and such to the coasts rather than local geotherm or solar CHP and tidal or dam generators.

Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
by Cat on Mon Jan 26th, 2009 at 06:24:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Do you have Taliban in Wyoming keen to destroy electrical infrastructure?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 27th, 2009 at 05:48:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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