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I agree with you: the world economy should go into debt rehab and set-up preventive mechanisms/regulations to avoid to return to debt binge, especially in  the countries with huge deficits and we should not drag countries with surpluses into the debt trap. And, yes, raising the incomes and closing the income gap should be a key feature of any policy, together with implementing a strong redistributive tax policy. Some remarks:
  • What should be put under control is the overall debt (public+private). However, in the short term, as Michel Aglietta advocated it in a recent conference, public debt should replace private debt.,

  • Not all countries have the same saving rates, deficits and debt, so it can't be one size fits all,

  • Government spending on productive, sustainable material (energy-conservation, renewable energy, public transports, R&D...) and social infrastructures (education, healthcare, fundamental research, culture, community-building...) is the right policy,

  • However, government spending (as well as boosting demand) will not automatically translate into wage increase: in a situation where unemployment is rising and insecurity is growing, the bargaining power of employees is not strong enough, especially in countries where unionisation is low. That means governments should use the power given to them by their position as the biggest investors to set-up tripartite collective agreements (government, employers, unions) or "economic re-development pacts" including wage increases. Although it might happen in some countries where social-democrats are in charge or where the industrial relations are strong, I don't see it happen easily in most of them, particularly in the US and the UK (and France). In my opinion, for some countries, it will only become possible if widespread social unrest (à la 68) forces the government to set-up such pacts.

Furthermore, if we want the policies/solutions implemented to be really sustainable, the collective agreements should involve first and foremost the unions and employers, but also other stakeholders like consumers and environment-oriented NGOs...

"Dieu se rit des hommes qui se plaignent des conséquences alors qu'ils en chérissent les causes" Jacques-Bénigne Bossuet
by Melanchthon on Thu Jan 8th, 2009 at 09:08:48 AM EST
I will add that, although strong redistributive tax policies are the right solution for the medium/long term, they will not allow to raise the huge sums required for the necessary short-term stimulus plans. So, in the short term, increasing public debt is unavoidable if we want to prevent a deep depression and the social/political consequences. Although I do not share Wolff's diagnosis, I share his fears: the dangers he mentions (nationalism...) are real. But at the same time, we should aim at reducing private debt.

"Dieu se rit des hommes qui se plaignent des conséquences alors qu'ils en chérissent les causes" Jacques-Bénigne Bossuet
by Melanchthon on Thu Jan 8th, 2009 at 09:21:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Melanchthon:
What should be put under control is the overall debt (public+private). However, in the short term, as Michel Aglietta advocated it in a recent conference, public debt should replace private debt.

When we say "Public" we mean "State" or "Municipal".

When we say "Private" we mean "owned by an Individual or a Corporation".

This "either/or" assumption is obsolete.

IMHO we may reinvent Equity, through the use of alternative enterprise models, and in so doing, totally reinvent the economics of public financing.

We should replace Private (Corporation) Equity with Public (Municipal) Equity within legal frameworks other than the conventional Corporation.

Not only is that not difficult, it is actually already being done because it works. By way of example the City of Glasgow has three municipal partnerships, with more to follow, albeit with conventional debt funding.

Debt may be conventional: but it is neither necessary nor efficient.

The use of such Municipal Equity will revolutionise public finance.

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Thu Jan 8th, 2009 at 09:24:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I certainly agree with the idea of reinventing public (as well as private) financing. However the question of the existing debt remains...

"Dieu se rit des hommes qui se plaignent des conséquences alors qu'ils en chérissent les causes" Jacques-Bénigne Bossuet
by Melanchthon on Thu Jan 8th, 2009 at 09:42:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Melanchthon:
However the question of the existing debt remains...

It's refinancing existing debt with "Municipal Equity" that constitutes the "killer application" of a "Unitisation" approach....

Refinancing existing debt - a Debt/Equity swap - typically cuts the cost of existing municipal finance by at least 50%, (due to no capital repayment, and a lower rate of return) and probably a lot more.

This would free many billions for investment in new municipal assets (eg in affordable housing, renewable energy and energy savings) - which takes more time, and involves development risk.

Municipal Equity gives us an entirely new asset class with perhaps a 1.5% to 2.5% index-linked return, asset-based - typically on land and buildings in public ownership - and with a rock solid (because it's affordable) municipal rental stream.

"Pools" of such municipal asset rental streams would give rise to the sort of high quality, secure, low risk returns investors are currently trying, and failing, to get.

"Any economic unit can emit money. The serious problem is to get it accepted" Hyman Minsky

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Thu Jan 8th, 2009 at 11:38:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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