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The stakeholders. Example:

People live in a community close to an iron orebody. Exploiting it will cost 100 million euros. No one in the community has that kind of money. The wealthiest man in the comunnity has 2 million euros, and he can scrape together a total 15 million from interested risk-takers.

Thankfully, people in the community deposit their savings in the bank, and the friendly banker is interested in being the intermediate between the public and the new mining business. So he takes their savings, lends them to the new company, which builds a mine. The banker gets net interest, the public jobs and interest on their accounts, and the investor get profits.

None of this new wealth had been possible without the finacial services provided by the friendly banker.  

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 08:59:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I thought mining raw materials doesn't increase wealth.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:01:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yes, because iron ore is so hugely useful when buried underground.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:03:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Precisely.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:05:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah, but if you leave it there you can use it to not increase wealth in the future.

Oh, wait ...

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:05:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Meanwhile, in the real world - the bankers come in, strip mine the wealth, and it gets sucked into an offshore account in the Cayman Islands, where it's turned into drugs.

The community doesn't see a penny - although they may be left with an interesting eyesore and mass unemployment when the mining is 'no longer economic.'

Where is this paradise where 'friendly bankers' interact with 'a community'?

It may happen in isolated instances, but it's hardly the norm, is it?

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:07:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The norm, as usual, is somewhere between the two extremes.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:11:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, suppose there's no banker and instead Chris Cook convinces the firm that will build the mine to contribute 85 million worth of work "in kind" which, together with the 15 million the community will raise, allows the mine to be built. The future revenue from the mine is divided proportionally to this initial contribution of "capital". Eventually, assuming the development was well advised, well over 100 million worth of revenue will accrue to the project.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:11:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Then Cris will essentially be the banker...

Or uh, where would these 85 million come from, if the company only has 15?

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:21:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The 85 million are contributed in kind.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:23:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So the construction company essentially works for free (well, they get 15 million in cash) and in return they get 85 % of the shares in the company?

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:28:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Or what? I don't understand this.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 10:00:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Basically.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 10:03:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So, uh, why would a construction company want to own 85 % of a mine? If they were interested in that, they'd be a mining company instead. Taking the extra risk seems strange too, why do they want to do that? Iron prices might fall, miner strikes might happen, lots of stuff can reduce (or increase) the profits of the mine. If I ran a construction company I'd want prompt cash payment, and if I were interested in the iron mine I'd buy shares in it.

And why would the initial investors want to cede control of their company to the construction company?

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 10:24:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's why you need bankers...

But suppose that the construction company doesn't have any other business opportunities because there's a depression. Here you have: an idle construction company, idle prospective miners, a community with an idle iron ore, and investors with 15% of the cash necessary to mobilize all these resources.

Money is very useful, and fiat money more so, in greasing economic activity. But in situations where resources are idle because of lack of money you have to monetize the resources internally to a partnership in order to make things happen. If the construction company wants to become a partner, the project happens. If they don't, it doesn't. If they don't have other projects available, they lie idle, too.

As Minsky put it, anyone can create money, the problem is to have it accepted as such. Partnership arrangements are ways to turn assets into money acceptable to the partners. If you bring enough of the community into the partnership you may even be able to feed everyone. Otherwise they can all line up at the employment office and the soup kitchen.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:25:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Reminds me of a Swede who started his won currency twentysomething years ago. He was bee-keeper, so each bill was backed by a can of honey. Kinda cute.
   

The purpose of Kjell Holmstrands Klöver [Clover, the name of his currency] is that the money should stay in the local area. He means the capital should stay in Orsa [where he lives] and not end up somewhere else. That's why he also opposes the Euro.

- We shall keep our money in our own country, he says. The Euro means we'll have to send even more money to the bureaucrats in Frankfurt/Brussels. Then we'll have to stand there with the cap in our hand and bow and beg, so the merciful gentlemen will give us back some of our own money.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:38:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I haven't worked out where they get the money to pay their staff or suppliers though. Maybe builders don't eat until the mine produces?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 10:07:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If you hire people from the "community" to do these jobs they may accept "community mining scrip" as part of their payment. If you bring the staff and supplies from far away, they'll want their hard cash so they can bugger off.

We're talking about depression economics here: the problem of mobilizing sufficient, willing local resources when there isn't enough money locally and no access to credit from the broader economy.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:40:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
We're talking about depression economics here
Are we? Since when? I am talking about the utility of financial services not only during depressions, and I think Chris Cook believes his system is designed to operate during all parts of the business cycle.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:46:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Or we could talk about hypotheticals.

Does anyone have any hard evidence about the actual number of community-profit projects, as opposed to the usual rape-and-pillage finance?

I can think of one - and the bank involved is very unusual, with a rare record of community interest.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:26:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You're talking about a hypothetical: a world in which everything is always worst case.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:27:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Where? I said there were isolated counter-examples.

If you want to prove there are more than isolated counter-examples, show me evidence of systemic banking generosity and community engagement.

It's a bit of a bonkers argument to be making at a time when communities and individuals are struggling but the banks aren't lending - and the banks and the FT are saying so.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 10:09:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Bankers do not have to be generous to supply useful financial services, just like bakers and butchers don't have to be generous to supply meat and bread. They just need to do their jobs, aiming for long term profitability.

Adam Smith said it better: "It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we can expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest."

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:50:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In Adam Smith's world you didn't have long-term enterprises requiring investments of the order of 10% GDP as in your example.

Big industry requires big finance and big finance changes the economic game away from Smith's marketplace of petty merchants, tradesmen and farmers.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:53:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, increase the GDP by a magnitude or two, or three, or four. Financing might be found in the entire country, but that is kind of beside the point here. Then the issue of solidity level becomes one of balance sheet optimisation rather than capital (or rather, risk) availability.

Smiths principle is still valid though, but I fear this simple thought experiment by now has been wrung dry of its use. :)

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:02:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Starvid:
Smiths principle is still valid though
Not everyone agrees with you, though. For instance, Hyman Minsky claims
[the general equilibrium theory of Neoclassical Economics] means that, for those subsystems of the economy where conditions are apt, the market can be relied upon, particularly if the market is not relied upon for
  1. the overall stability of the economy
  2. the determination of the pace and even the direction of investment
  3. income distribution
and 4) the determination of prices and outputs in those sectors that use large amounts of capital assets per unit of input or per worker
This was written in 1986. Substantially the same point was made by Galbraith in the 1960's and by Veblen in 1904.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:06:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I was not refering to the neoclassical school as a whole (as you well know) but rather to the fact that banks and bankers don't need to dabble in charity to supply useful financial services (as TBG implied). They only need to do banking, and the reason they do banking is "from their regard to their own interest".

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:12:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The point is you need finance to mobilize resources, so long as you need to work today for a benefit tomorrow.

And the other point was that mobilizing resources increases wealth. That's why people are willing to mobilize resources today for a benefit tomorrow.

That finance can be predatory is not under dispute either.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:30:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, everyone I know who has a mortage is one example, not to mention everyone who has a bank account...

Everyone I know who's a farmer or manage forest and need capital to do that. Not to mention the iron mine north of the city they'll rehabilitate for about 100 million euros...

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:31:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In the original story, where does this firm come from? It's not part of the original local set-up. And it has the capability to advance, not out of thin air, 85mns' worth in kind.

Nice if you can find it.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:00:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Starvid:
People live in a community close to an iron orebody. Exploiting it will cost 100 million euros.
Who will be receiving those 100 million euros, in exchange for what work?

If they are willing and able to contribute the work in kind, you can do this.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:19:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
For example those who do electrical installations, supply pumps, build and sell mining machines, excavate the initial shafts and so on.

But I see no reason why they would accept payment in shares. They have bills to pay, and these bills cannot be payed with mining company shares, but only with cash.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:26:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, you still have 15% of the money as cash, per the initial statement of the problem.

If everyone demands hard cash and there is no banker around, the project doesn't get going. You mentioned a "community" being involved in this. Presumably the "community" has a local economy that provide some of the services these contractors would use their cash for, again in kind or by accepting the scrip issued by the mining partnership as a local currency. And once we're talking about it in these terms, what fraction of the community's GDP is 100 million, in your example?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:36:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If everyone demands hard cash and there is no banker around, the project doesn't get going.
Well, that's exactly what I said. The entire problem was an example to defend the utility of certain financial services.

Presumably the "community" has a local economy that provide some of the services these contractors would use their cash for, again in kind or by accepting the scrip issued by the mining partnership as a local currency.
Some, but certainly not all.

And once we're talking about it in these terms, what fraction of the community's GDP is 100 million, in your example?
What do you think? A city of 30-35.000 maybe, so a GDP around 1 billion euros?

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:43:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Why cannot the share circle be widened to include these suppliers? Ad infinitum... The mind boggles, but the entire population of the Earth cross-owning and sharing everything could perhaps change the way people think about transactions.

You can't be me, I'm taken
by Sven Triloqvist on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:52:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Sven Triloqvist:
Why cannot the share circle be widened to include these suppliers?
Starvid did suggest (when pressed) that the context of this is a community of 30 thousand with a GDP of 1 billion...

The problem is the assumption that everyone is a delocalised service provider who wants hard cash so they can bugger off.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:56:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There are any number of reasons to suggest why these concepts will not work. However I think the 'what-if' ramifications are worth exploring in order to see how an alternative system might work (by putting aside some of the objections for the moment). I think you would agree?

You can't be me, I'm taken
by Sven Triloqvist on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:06:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
First, because nothing would ever get off the ground if everyone had to agree on accepting each others scrips before any financing was supplied to any project.

Second, because this would tie up everyones capital (like a forced investment in some global index fund) and stop people from buying that TV, car, vacation or investing in their own small business.

To resolve these problems and ease transactions,  the state decided to launch a universal scrip: the currency.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:57:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This is why economically depressed communities sometimes give the state the finger and introduce their own local scrip.
Second, because this would tie up everyones capital (like a forced investment in some global index fund) and stop people from buying that TV, car, vacation or investing in their own small business.
See? You're talking about "good times" economics and I'm talking about "depression economics".

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:00:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So, because everyone wants their TV or foreign vacation, everyone remains unemployed? And, about investing in their own business... what if everyone also has on average just 15% of the necessary capital? Because everyone wants their own small business no businesses get started?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:03:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Everyone doesn't want their own business, because most people are risk averse and much rather take a lower risk and accept a potential lower return on their money, ie they put it in the bank.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:07:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But "the bank" as currently understood doesn't lend out of deposits - it has a state licence to create money (that is, a community licence to issue scrip).

So in your example, the "community" charters a corporation and gives it the power to issue 85 thosand worth of scrip to fund the construction of the mine.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:10:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But "the bank" as currently understood doesn't lend out of deposits - it has a state licence to create money (that is, a community licence to issue scrip).
And it can only do this if it has deposits (or another source of funding).

And how should this community empower a corporation like that? Only the state has that legal authority, or the scrips will not be legal tender.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:15:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The community doesn't have the power to make the scrip legal tender. However, if enough people within the community will accept the scrip and the community is large enough, it is not worthless. In addition, the corporation has to accept its own scrip in payment for its services and the local government can also accept it. Finally, if the community is invested in this scheme, businesses can attract customers by advertising that they accept the scrip, and local businesses that don't accept the scrip may be punished by customers who want the scheme to succeed even if there isn't an organised boycott.

Then again, it need not work. But it has happened here and there in the course of history.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:24:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Why aren't we talking about Dubai? It seems to be the latest ohshitohshitohshit!-situation, though I can't say I feel very bad for those who extended credit to those idiot projects.

   

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 12:27:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Which firm are we talking about, the construction firm? Or rather firms, as we are probably talking about a number of firms, maybe one doing electrical installations, one supplying pumps, another building and selling mining machines, one excavating the initial shafts and so on.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:24:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The construction firm or group of firms.

I'm finding the notion fanciful that this stakeholder can advance 85% of the investment "in kind" (in a local community example where there's only 15% of the investment to be found in cash).

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:45:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Then you need a banker or the mine won't happen.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:52:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There are different kind of bankers. Both the useful ones and the locust ones coexist, often within different divisions of the same bank...

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid (arvid.hallen at gmail.com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 09:17:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
ThatBritGuy:
Meanwhile, in the real world - the bankers come in, strip mine the wealth, and it gets sucked into an offshore account in the Cayman Islands, where it's turned into drugs.

The community doesn't see a penny - although they may be left with an interesting eyesore and mass unemployment when the mining is 'no longer economic.'

Sounds like Iceland's ex-banks and Alumimium smelters... See this old thread on "uneconomic growth".

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 26th, 2009 at 11:51:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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