- Jake If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.
The candidate cannot be in active opposition in the country they're from. (Given that appointing an opposition figure could be viewed as a middle-finger salute to the government in question, that seems like a sensible constraint.) For a PES candidate, this means Austria, Greece, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain or Britain. Maybe Cyprus.
Take Élisabeth Guigou. Sarkozy would have to 1) want to nominate a PS member; 2) want to give up the French Commissioner post for this.
The country in question must be willing to let go of another portfolio. That rules out Portugal.
Then we're down to Britain, Austria and Greece. And that's stretching the definition of "mid-sized."
Now look at the British slate:
the British slate: Tony Blair - ruled out by the PES at large David Miliband - ruled himself out Peter Mandelson - nicknamed The Prince of Darkness Geoff Hoon Catherine Ashton