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En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 3rd, 2009 at 04:40:35 PM EST


En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 3rd, 2009 at 04:57:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Could you explain why both graphs seem to show an accelerated number of bank failures after 2008?

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Anaïs Nin
by Crazy Horse on Tue Nov 3rd, 2009 at 05:04:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's called the crisis in pictures :P

There was a long period (30 months) of quiescence. Before that there was the effect of the dot-com crash. After that there is the effect of the subprime crisis.

The subprime crisis is a large cascading failure, which the earlier crisis wasn't. So you can see it accelerate - the more banks have failed, the more are at risk of failing. Note that early 2008 is the first time more than one bank was closed over the same weekend.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 3rd, 2009 at 05:12:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
wondered about that too.

After all:

Growth in an industry is good.
Therefore: growth in bank failures is good.

(I'm bucking for a spot on Fox.)

:-)

by ATinNM on Tue Nov 3rd, 2009 at 05:37:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Before 2004, the economy was not in a self-organised critical state. After 2007 it was.

The long period of quiescence (coinciding with the credit expansion phase of the subprime bubble) set the conditions for cascading failure.

Somehow, the dot-com bubble was of a different character.

It would be interesting to align these charts with the money supply...

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 3rd, 2009 at 05:41:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
See my diary on the money supply.

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Nov 3rd, 2009 at 05:45:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Because Obama was elected?
by asdf on Tue Nov 3rd, 2009 at 09:32:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The label "2008" marks January 1st, so maybe it was because Obama won in Iowa?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 4th, 2009 at 03:53:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Spot the hockey stick...
by Nomad on Wed Nov 4th, 2009 at 03:53:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
But there was no sample selection involved...

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 4th, 2009 at 03:56:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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