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There are several distinct issues here:

  1. The powers inherently transferred to a post under the Treaties

  2. The degree to which the interests of 27 members can be aligned to arrive at common policies and positions.

  3. The qualities of the post holder - the trust and esteem in which s/he is held, their grasp of the issues, their relationship with Council members and other key players, their abilities to articulate and negotiate on complex issues.  

I have used the term "non-entity" to describe a post holder who does not have those qualities in sufficient degree to inspire confidence on his own side - never mind in adversaries - that he is someone who can negotiate and must be negotiated with - and more importantly deliver on agreements made.  A competent negotiator knows what he can "sell" to his own side and what it will "buy" from those across the table.  Sometimes one doesn't equal the other and no agreement is possible.  But a bad negotiator can foul up the process even when an agreement was possible.

I do accept the premise that the EU has not been punching its weight on world affairs, and that, partly as a consequence, but for a lot of other reasons too, narrow US and other interests have been dominating world affairs to the detriment of almost everyone else.  I would like to see the EU, and the values represented by the Charter of Fundamental rights, much more influential in the future.

Both Obama (with his domestic opponents) and any EU leaders which emerge (with the institutional and other complexities they will have to deal with within the EU) will have very limited room for manoeuvre.  But I believe that much better global regulation on Climate, Finance, Corporate Governance, Energy sustainability, Middle East Peace and other conflict resolution issues can be negotiated by competent leaders even given those constraints and competing interests.

Bush and Blair really screwed things up.  I think the Obama administration and good EU leaders post Lisbon could do a much better job.  To believe this is not necessarily to be brainwashed by bullshit US or Blairist propaganda or those who want to be "lefter than thou" by being critical of anything Obama might try to do.  Of course he represents US interests, and quite effectively in my view.  How effectively are EU interests going to be represented?  That is the key question that awaits an answer, and I do not hold with those who attack and label anyone who criticises EU performance to date as being the dupes of US or Blairist propaganda.

notes from no w here

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Fri Nov 6th, 2009 at 10:56:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
because they want

  1. someone who will toe the US line
  2. will say so publicly and will catch the top headlines because he has access to them
  3. will be "powerful" enough to impose his position on the rest of Europe (and if the French or Germans or others disagree they are just being their usal PITAs and represent no one but themselves)

They want Blair precisely to be able to go around any mandate the President of the council may have...

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Mon Nov 9th, 2009 at 11:32:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm not clear on which "they" you are referring to.  Atlanticists? UK Eurosceptics?  

I would have thought Blair is damaged goods for anyone who wants the EU to toe a US line - Iraq harks back to Bush/neo-cons - and is but an embarrassing problem for Obama which he hopes will go away ASAP.

notes from no w here

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot dotty communists) on Mon Nov 9th, 2009 at 01:17:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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