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FT.com | Willem Buiter's Maverecon | The proposed European Systemic Risk Board is overweight central bankers
We need an EU level macro-prudential stability board.  The current proposals for the ESRB are, however, deeply misguided, as they make the central banks the dominant players in the systemic risk game.  Central banks have neither the technical knowledge, nor the tools and instruments nor the legitimacy to dominate the macro-prudential financial stability framework.  Back to the drawing board.


En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 11th, 2009 at 05:31:47 AM EST
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It's very hard to imagine who exactly has the technical knowledge. Almost every CB in Europe or USA now is dying to hire 'macro-prudential' specialists. The problem is - no one really knows how these specialists would look like...

When we don't really know how the object of regulation looks like, it might be useful to research it first or in parallel, and here CBs do have an advantage.

by Sargon on Wed Nov 11th, 2009 at 07:12:32 AM EST
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Sargon:
Almost every CB in Europe or USA now is dying to hire 'macro-prudential' specialists. The problem is - no one really knows how these specialists would look like...
Knowledge of non-neoclassical macroeconomics would be part of the profile, IMHO, since systemic financial crises are not part of neoclassical macroeconomics (or, rather, they come into the theory as Acts of Gawd).

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 11th, 2009 at 07:18:34 AM EST
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Just mindlessly shooting from the hip, I'd say ability to calculate percolation thresholds would come handy as well... I wouldn't discount neo-classical econ, especially the recent vintages heavy on asymmetric info, moral hazard, and agency problems, but behavioral finance probably would get a boost from these people.

There was a WSJ feature several days ago on introducing financial considerations (fin markets, banking industry, housing, frictions of different kinds) into DSGE (mostly) models. This is an extremely active area of research right now (couldn't get enough students to engage), shows some promise.

by Sargon on Wed Nov 11th, 2009 at 09:18:09 AM EST
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How about interdisciplinary teams?

En un viejo país ineficiente, algo así como España entre dos guerras civiles, poseer una casa y poca hacienda y memoria ninguna. -- Gil de Biedma
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Nov 11th, 2009 at 09:23:12 AM EST
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Write to Trichet and Bernanke :) but on the other hands, people are taking standard network research pretty seriously these days.
by Sargon on Wed Nov 11th, 2009 at 10:34:56 AM EST
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I was listening to Trichet's speech about as week ago, and was shocked to hear words "nonlinearity"and "phase transition" there. No one knows how serious he was.
by Sargon on Wed Nov 11th, 2009 at 12:33:30 PM EST
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