I don't think this is incoherent so much as showing how different parts of the electorate are going in different directions. I suspect the working classes are trending right and the middle classes are recoiling from the tories.

Quite how this plays out I don't know cos it's a long time till polling day. Although Brown can hang on till May, people are now suggesting that mid-March is possible.

Can I say that I want them both to lose. I have learned to hate NuLab with a passion and cannot vote for them while that faction still dominates. I wanted a Labour government in 1997 and got a bunch of tories who cacked the country up and I have finally tired of voting for them in the hope of anything better. I will not endorse this catastrophic neoconservative government.

Yet much more than NuLab, I despise the conservatives. Part of my anger with NuLab is that they've taken away the obvious protest vote against the tories. Cameron and Osborne will ruin the country by greenspanning us to death. their plan of attack on the deficit will be a bonfire of services to the poor and even medium well off. Wealth capture will be accelerated as the country will be tipped upside down to ferret out the very last bit of worth for the wealthy to clutch.

but who will win ?

I'd love to be able to say I don't care; but I do. It matters. I'm reckoning on a hung parliament. I think Labour will lose loads of seats but not enough for Cameron the terrible to form a government that cannot be voted down. Largely because the Lib Dems will be utterly routed and Labour will pick up those seats preferentially.

But watch Scotland. The political landscape for the next two or three decades will be decided there. If the tories win outright, scotland will vote for greater independence and that means that, under the first past the post electoral system, conservatives will rule england forever.

If it's a hung parliament, Scotland will stay in the UK and nothing will be settled.

keep to the Fen Causeway